New York District 4

NY-04 • 2026 Election
Back to House Races

Primary

Republican Primary

Held June 23, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jeanine Driscoll 12,892 90.8%
Marvin Williams 1,258 8.9%

Full calendar and every race: New York primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Laura Gillen
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Likely R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+3
2024 Margin
D+4

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Likely R

Inside Elections

Likely R

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely R

Candidates

Laura Gillen

Laura Gillen Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $5,097,222
Cash on Hand: $3,843,824

Jeanine Driscoll Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $264,824
Cash on Hand: $226,274

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 NY-04 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

When is the 2026 NY-04 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Long Island; flipped D 2024

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$6,892
Total IE Spending
$3,982
Support
$2,910
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.