New York District 4

NY-04 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Republican Primary

Held June 23, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jeanine Driscoll ✓ 12,892 90.8%
Marvin Williams 1,258 8.9%
Total Write-ins 53 0.4%

Full calendar and every race: New York primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Laura Gillen
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Tilt R expert avg
State delegation
19D - 7R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+3
2024 Margin
D+4

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Likely D

Inside Elections

Likely R

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely R

Candidates

Laura Gillen

Laura Gillen Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $6,021,061
Cash on Hand: $3,940,920

Jeanine Driscoll Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $664,552
Cash on Hand: $270,884

Blay Tarnoff

Independent
Total Raised: $24,572
Cash on Hand: $66

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 NY-04 House race competitive?

the expert consensus currently rates this race Tilt R.

When is the 2026 NY-04 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Long Island; flipped D 2024

Independent Expenditures Updated 32 min ago

$569,314
Total IE Spending
$288,117
Support
$281,197
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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