Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bob Harvie ✓ | 52,094 | 65.1% | |
| Lucia Simonelli | 27,884 | 34.9% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fitzpatrick ✓ | 44,365 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Brian Fitzpatrick Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) partisan·R R-sponsored | 2026-09-14 | 400 RV | ±4.00 | Bob Harvie 40.00% | Brian Fitzpatrick 49.00% |
| Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D | 2026-08-09 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Bob Harvie 43.00% | Brian Fitzpatrick 47.00% |
| Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D | 2026-03-22 | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Bob Harvie 42.00% | Brian Fitzpatrick 48.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 PA-01 House race?
Brian Fitzpatrick leads Bob Harvie 48% to 41.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+6.3 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 PA-01 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean R, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-01 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Public Opinion Strategies (R) (completed September 14, 2026), found Bob Harvie (D) at 40% and Brian Fitzpatrick (R) at 49%.
When is the 2026 PA-01 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 2 hours ago
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $3,077,557
- DEFENDING AMERICA PAC, INC. GOP-aligned $1,308,609
- YOUR COMMUNITY PAC Dem-aligned $998,650
- RJC VICTORY FUND GOP-aligned $383,500
- STRATEGIC MAJORITY PAC GOP-aligned $379,443
- EDF ACTION VOTES GOP-aligned $239,610
- CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC. GOP-aligned $205,137
- AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC. GOP-aligned $162,816
- MAGA INC. GOP-aligned $100,895
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $97,299
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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