Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bob Harvie ✓ | 52,094 | 65.1% | |
| Lucia Simonelli | 27,884 | 34.9% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fitzpatrick ✓ | 44,365 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.
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Candidates
Brian Fitzpatrick Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) partisan·R R-sponsored | 2026-09-14 | 400 RV | ±4.00 | Bob Harvie 40.00% | Brian Fitzpatrick 49.00% |
| GQR partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-08-23 | 400 | Bob Harvie 48.00% | Brian Fitzpatrick 49.00% | |
| Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D | 2026-08-09 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Bob Harvie 43.00% | Brian Fitzpatrick 47.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 PA-01 House race?
Brian Fitzpatrick leads Bob Harvie 49% to 40% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+9.0 margin based on 1 poll from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 PA-01 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-01 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Public Opinion Strategies (R) (completed September 14, 2026), found Bob Harvie (D) at 40% and Brian Fitzpatrick (R) at 49%.
When is the 2026 PA-01 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- DEFENDING AMERICA PAC, INC. GOP-aligned $708,609
- YOUR COMMUNITY PAC Dem-aligned $499,325
- HMP Dem-aligned $480,213
- STRATEGIC MAJORITY PAC GOP-aligned $238,503
- EDF ACTION VOTES GOP-aligned $191,331
- AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC. GOP-aligned $162,816
- CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC. GOP-aligned $39,377
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $34,438
- LOSERS AND SUCKERS VOTE Dem-aligned $18,922
- SENIORS EMPOWERING AN EFFECTIVE DEMOCRACY (SEED-PAC) Dem-aligned $17,374
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.