Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bob Harvie ✓ | 52,094 | 65.1% | |
| Lucia Simonelli | 27,884 | 34.9% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fitzpatrick ✓ | 44,365 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
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Candidates
Brian Fitzpatrick Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D | 2026-08-09 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Bob Harvie 43.00% | Brian Fitzpatrick 47.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 PA-01 House race?
Brian Fitzpatrick leads Bob Harvie 47% to 43% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+4.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 PA-01 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean R: Republicans are favored, but the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-01 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Global Strategy Group (D) (completed August 9, 2026), found Bob Harvie (D) at 43% and Brian Fitzpatrick (R) at 47%.
When is the 2026 PA-01 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- LOSERS AND SUCKERS VOTE Dem-aligned $18,922
- DEFENDING AMERICA PAC, INC. GOP-aligned $10,609
- API PA VOTES Dem-aligned $3,477
- PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Dem-aligned $46
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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