Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Crowley ✓ | 315,308 | 41.7% | |
| Francesca Hong | 311,513 | 41.2% | |
| Kelda Roys | 59,443 | 7.9% | |
| Joel Brennan | 37,135 | 4.9% | |
| Mandela Barnes | 32,422 | 4.3% |
Republican Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Tiffany ✓ | 468,348 | 95.4% | |
| Andy Manske | 22,666 | 4.6% |
Full calendar and every race: Wisconsin primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
David Crowley Nominee
Democrat
Tom Tiffany Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov In average | 2026-10-09 this poll | 1715 A | David Crowley 46.00% | Tom Tiffany 42.00% | |
| Z to A Research D-sponsored In average | 2026-10-01 this poll | 662 LV | David Crowley 49.00% | Tom Tiffany 44.00% | |
| Marquette University In average | 2026-09-23 this poll | 692 LV | ±4.80 | David Crowley 49.00% | Tom Tiffany 46.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Wisconsin governor's race?
David Crowley leads Tom Tiffany 48% to 44% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.0 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Wisconsin governor's race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Wisconsin governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from YouGov (completed October 9, 2026), found David Crowley (D) at 46% and Tom Tiffany (R) at 42%.
When is the 2026 Wisconsin governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Evers not seeking a third term (not term-limited); open seat in swing state
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