Maine Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat (Term Limited)
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Nirav Shah 58,606 26.8%
Hannah Pingree ✓ 50,552 23.3%
Troy Jackson 45,959 21.1%
Shenna Bellows 44,770 20.6%
Angus King III 17,860 8.3%

Republican Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Robert Charles ✓ 49,129 38.0%
Ben Midgley 25,880 20.0%
Jonathan Bush 25,449 19.7%
Garrett Mason 14,820 11.4%
Owen McCarthy 5,033 3.9%
David Jones 3,740 2.9%
Robert Wessels 3,525 2.7%
James Libby 1,831 1.4%

Full calendar and every race: Maine primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Janet Mills)
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Safe D our polls
Term Limited
Yes
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Safe D
Our polling average D+11.3 · 3 polls

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid D

Inside Elections

Solid Democrat

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely Democratic

Candidates

Hannah Pingree

Hannah Pingree Nominee

Democrat
Robert Charles

Robert Charles Nominee

Republican

Richard Bennett Nominee

Independent

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
49.0%
Republican
37.7%
Margin
D+11.3
Latest poll in average
Oct 20, 2026

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster Date Sample MoE Dem Rep
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research In average 2026-10-20 this poll 1514 LV ±2.50 Hannah Pingree 49.00% Robert Charles 39.00%
Suffolk University In average 2026-10-11 this poll 500 LV ±4.40 Hannah Pingree 49.00% Robert Charles 38.00%
All candidates (full ballot): Hannah Pingree (D) 49% · Bobby Charles (R) 38% · Rick Bennett (I) 8% · Others 8% · Undecided 5%
The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government In average 2026-10-05 this poll 800 LV ±3.60 Hannah Pingree 49.00% Robert Charles 36.00%
Marist University Not in average 2026-10-04 this poll 1505 RV ±3.80 Hannah Pingree 52.00% Robert Charles 40.00%
CBS News missed 2024 by 2.6 pts Not in average 2026-10-01 this poll 1133 LV ±4.70 Hannah Pingree 56.00% Robert Charles 44.00%
co/efficient R-sponsored Not in average 2026-09-30 this poll 1240 LV ±2.77 Hannah Pingree 47.00% Robert Charles 38.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Maine governor's race?

Hannah Pingree leads Robert Charles 49% to 37.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+11.3 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Maine governor's race competitive?

No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Maine governor's race say?

The most recent poll in our average, from Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research (completed October 20, 2026), found Hannah Pingree (D) at 49% and Robert Charles (R) at 39%.

When is the 2026 Maine governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Term-limited, open seat

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