Iowa Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat (Term Limited)
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Rob Sand ✓ 189,442 99.6%

Republican Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Zach Lahn ✓ 80,765 37.7%
Randy Feenstra 79,113 36.9%
Adam Steen 31,087 14.5%
Brad Sherman 15,076 7.0%
Eddie Andrews 7,694 3.6%

Full calendar and every race: Iowa primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Kim Reynolds)
Party
Republican
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Likely D our polls experts: Lean D
Term Limited
Yes
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Likely D
Our polling average D+6.7 · 3 polls

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

Cook Political Report

Lean D

Inside Elections

Tilt Democrat

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Leans Democratic

Candidates

Rob Sand

Rob Sand Nominee

Democrat
Zach Lahn

Zach Lahn Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
51.0%
Republican
44.3%
Margin
D+6.7
Latest poll in average
Oct 19, 2026

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster Date Sample MoE Dem Rep
co/efficient R-sponsored In average 2026-10-19 this poll 863 LV ±3.32 Rob Sand 49.00% Zach Lahn 45.00%
New River In average 2026-10-13 this poll 602 LV Rob Sand 54.00% Zach Lahn 43.00%
National Public Affairs R-sponsored In average 2026-10-12 this poll 678 LV ±3.80 Rob Sand 50.00% Zach Lahn 45.00%
YouGov Not in average 2026-10-12 this poll 2245 LV ±3.10 Rob Sand 50.00% Zach Lahn 44.00%
Marist University Not in average 2026-10-11 this poll 1100 LV ±6.60 Rob Sand 52.00% Zach Lahn 45.00%
Emerson College missed 2024 by 2.7 pts Not in average 2026-10-06 this poll 650 LV ±3.80 Rob Sand 49.00% Zach Lahn 45.30%
CNN missed 2024 by 2.9 pts Not in average 2026-10-05 this poll 801 LV ±4.20 Rob Sand 51.00% Zach Lahn 42.00%
Suffolk University Not in average 2026-10-04 this poll 500 LV ±4.40 Rob Sand 55.00% Zach Lahn 43.00%
New York Times/Siena University missed 2024 by 3.1 pts Not in average 2026-10-01 this poll 606 LV ±4.60 Rob Sand 52.00% Zach Lahn 41.00%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Not in average 2026-09-28 this poll 1008 LV ±3.00 Rob Sand 53.00% Zach Lahn 44.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Iowa governor's race?

Rob Sand leads Zach Lahn 51% to 44.3% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+6.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Iowa governor's race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Iowa governor's race say?

The most recent poll in our average, from co/efficient (completed October 19, 2026), found Rob Sand (D) at 49% and Zach Lahn (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 Iowa governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Term-limited, open seat

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