Vermont Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 11, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Amanda Janoo ✓ 39,077 51.4%
Aly Richards 37,027 48.7%
98% reporting

Republican Primary

Held August 11, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Phil Scott ✓ 20,969 100.0%
98% reporting

Full calendar and every race: Vermont primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Phil Scott
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls
Polls
2 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average R+2.0 · 2 polls

General Election Polling Trend

Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Phil Scott

Phil Scott Nominee Incumbent

Republican

Amanda Janoo Nominee

Democrat

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
40.5%
Republican
42.5%
Margin
R+2.0
Last Poll
Sep 21, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
University of New Hampshire 2026-09-21 829 LV ±3.30 Amanda Janoo 49.00% Phil Scott 43.00%
Braun Research/Vermont Public 2026-09-21 817 RV ±3.40 Amanda Janoo 32.00% Phil Scott 42.00%
University of New Hampshire 2026-07-20 954 LV ±3.20 Amanda Janoo 33.00% Phil Scott 44.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Vermont governor's race?

Phil Scott leads Amanda Janoo 42.5% to 40.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+2.0 margin based on 2 polls from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Vermont governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Vermont governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from University of New Hampshire (completed September 21, 2026), found Amanda Janoo (D) at 49% and Phil Scott (R) at 43%.

When is the 2026 Vermont governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Multi-term governor (2-year terms); seeking re-election — verify he is running

Race News