Vermont Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 11, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Amanda Janoo ✓ 39,077 51.4%
Aly Richards 37,027 48.7%
98% reporting

Republican Primary

Held August 11, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Phil Scott ✓ 20,969 100.0%
98% reporting

Full calendar and every race: Vermont primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Phil Scott
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Lean R our polls
Polls
1 polls

PollingSource Rating

Lean R
Our polling average R+3.0 · 1 poll

General Election Polling Trend

Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Phil Scott

Phil Scott Nominee Incumbent

Republican

Amanda Janoo Nominee

Democrat

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
43.0%
Republican
46.0%
Margin
R+3.0
Last Poll
Oct 4, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
State Navigate 2026-10-04 948 LV ±3.20 Amanda Janoo 43.00% Phil Scott 46.00%
University of New Hampshire 2026-09-21 829 LV ±3.30 Amanda Janoo 49.00% Phil Scott 43.00%
Braun Research/Vermont Public 2026-09-21 817 RV ±3.40 Amanda Janoo 32.00% Phil Scott 42.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Vermont governor's race?

Phil Scott leads Amanda Janoo 46% to 43% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+3.0 margin based on 1 poll from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Vermont governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean R, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Vermont governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from State Navigate (completed October 4, 2026), found Amanda Janoo (D) at 43% and Phil Scott (R) at 46%.

When is the 2026 Vermont governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of scientific public polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days. One poll in that week is the average. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists the polls from that window. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Multi-term governor (2-year terms); seeking re-election — verify he is running

Race News