Race Overview
Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
Candidate information will be updated as primaries conclude and nominees are confirmed.
Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College | 2026-06-25 | 1614 | ±2.40 | Cinde Warmington 37.00% | Kelly Ayotte 45.00% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-06-23 | 2232 | ±2.10 | Cinde Warmington 39.00% | Kelly Ayotte 44.00% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-04-21 | 1117 | ±2.90 | Cinde Warmington 39.00% | Kelly Ayotte 47.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race?
Kelly Ayotte leads Cinde Warmington 45.3% to 38.3% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+7.0 margin based on 3 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from Saint Anselm College (completed June 25, 2026), found Cinde Warmington (D) at 37% and Kelly Ayotte (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term governor (2-year terms); seeking re-election
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.