Primary
Democratic Primary
Held September 8, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cinde Warmington ✓ | 89,060 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
Held September 8, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Ayotte ✓ | 95,849 | 92.4% | |
| Shaun Fife | 4,220 | 4.1% | |
| Bob Wayne McClory | 3,681 | 3.6% |
Full calendar and every race: New Hampshire primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.
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Race page
Candidates
Kelly Ayotte Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanCinde Warmington Nominee
DemocratGeneral Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 2026-10-05 | 1520 LV | ±3.90 | Cinde Warmington 40.00% | Kelly Ayotte 49.00% |
| Saint Anselm College | 2026-09-29 | 1042 LV | ±3.00 | Cinde Warmington 45.00% | Kelly Ayotte 52.00% |
| The New York Times/Siena University ±3.1 | 2026-09-22 | 613 LV | ±4.90 | Cinde Warmington 41.00% | Kelly Ayotte 52.00% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-09-21 | 1418 LV | ±2.60 | Cinde Warmington 43.00% | Kelly Ayotte 47.00% |
| co/efficient (R) partisan·R | 2026-09-11 | 958 LV | ±3.20 | Cinde Warmington 34.00% | Kelly Ayotte 55.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race?
Kelly Ayotte leads Cinde Warmington 50.5% to 42.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+8.0 margin based on 2 polls from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from YouGov (completed October 5, 2026), found Cinde Warmington (D) at 40% and Kelly Ayotte (R) at 49%.
When is the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term governor (2-year terms); seeking re-election