Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cindy Holscher ✓ | 109,360 | 48.8% | |
| Ethan Corson | 86,554 | 38.7% | |
| Curt Skoog | 28,002 | 12.5% |
Republican Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Masterson ✓ | 147,167 | 54.5% | |
| Philip Sarnecki | 76,304 | 28.2% | |
| Vicki Schmidt | 46,690 | 17.3% | |
| Charlotte O'Hara | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Kansas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Cindy Holscher Nominee
DemocratTy Masterson Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D) D-sponsored In average | 2026-10-21 this poll | 600 LV | ±4.00 | Cindy Holscher 47.00% | Ty Masterson 47.00% |
| YouGov In average | 2026-10-04 this poll | 2255 LV | ±3.20 | Cindy Holscher 44.00% | Ty Masterson 47.00% |
| New York Times/Siena University missed 2024 by 3.1 pts In average | 2026-09-30 this poll | 605 LV | ±2.10 | Cindy Holscher 44.00% | Ty Masterson 49.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Kansas governor's race?
Ty Masterson leads Cindy Holscher 47.7% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+2.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Kansas governor's race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Kansas governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from Global Strategy Group (D) (completed October 21, 2026), found Cindy Holscher (D) at 47% and Ty Masterson (R) at 47%.
When is the 2026 Kansas governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Term-limited, open seat in red state
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