Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Begich — Withdrew | 25,383 | 20.0% |
Republican Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernadette M. Wilson | 13,418 | 24.4% | |
| Dave Bronson | 10,745 | 19.6% | |
| Treg Taylor | 9,483 | 17.3% | |
| Adam Crum | 7,292 | 13.3% | |
| Shelley Hughes | 7,160 | 13.0% | |
| Matt A. Heilala | 3,464 | 6.3% | |
| Edna DeVries | 1,760 | 3.2% | |
| Lesil McGuire | 1,614 | 2.9% |
Nonpartisan Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan S. “JKT” Kreiss-Tomkins | 27,623 | 21.8% | |
| Click Bishop | 8,860 | 7.0% | |
| Bill Walker | 5,429 | 4.3% | |
| Meda DeWitt | 3,153 | 2.5% | |
| James W. “JP4” Parkin | 464 | 0.4% | |
| Henry F. “Hank” Kroll | 234 | 0.2% |
Undeclared Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Destry J. Sr. Payne | 255 | 0.2% |
Full calendar and every race: Alaska primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
Share
Race page
Candidates
Tom Begich Won Primary — Withdrew
DemocratWithdrew August 31, 2026 after the top-four primary. Alaska Division of Elections voter pamphlet and Taylor certification list Kreiss-Tomkins, Wilson, Bronson and Treg Taylor.
Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins Nominee
DemocratTreg Taylor Nominee
RepublicanCertified Republican on the Alaska Division of Elections 2026 general ballot (top four, ranked choice). Advanced from fifth when Begich withdrew August 31; certification restored September 4. Every ballot candidate is seated.
Dave Bronson Nominee
RepublicanBernadette Wilson Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average uses final-round head-to-heads only. Newer first-choice polls shown for reference.
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research D-sponsored In average (final round) | 2026-10-25 this poll | 1068 LV | ±3.50 | Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins 53.00% | Bernadette Wilson 47.00% |
| Alaska Survey Research D-sponsored Not in average later round | 2026-10-18 this poll | 1568 LV | ±3.00 | Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins 51.00% | Bernadette Wilson 33.00% |
| Later round: Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 51% · Bernadette Wilson (R) 33% · Dave Bronson (R) 16% | |||||
| Data for Progress D-sponsored missed 2024 by 4.1 pts In average (final round) | 2026-10-16 this poll | 629 LV | ±4.00 | Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins 53.00% | Bernadette Wilson 47.00% |
| Data for Progress D-sponsored missed 2024 by 4.1 pts First choice only, not in average first-round numbers | 2026-10-08 this poll | 694 LV | ±4.00 | — | — |
| All candidates, first choice: Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 46% · Bernadette Wilson (R) 28% · Dave Bronson (R) 12% · Treg Taylor (R) 9% | |||||
| Alaska Survey Research D-sponsored In average (final round) | 2026-10-03 this poll | 1512 LV | ±3.00 | Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins 54.00% | Bernadette Wilson 46.00% |
| The New York Times/Siena University missed 2024 by 3.1 pts Not in average | 2026-10-01 this poll | 431 LV | Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins 52.00% | Bernadette Wilson 48.00% | |
| New York Times/Siena University missed 2024 by 3.1 pts First choice only, not in average first-round numbers | 2026-10-01 this poll | 504 LV | ±5.10 | — | — |
| All candidates, first choice: Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 40% · Bernadette Wilson (R) 20% · Dave Bronson (R) 15% · Treg Taylor (R) 11% · Undecided 13% | |||||
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Alaska governor's race?
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads Bernadette Wilson 53.3% to 46.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+6.6 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Alaska governor's race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Alaska governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from Alaska Survey Research (completed October 25, 2026), found Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) at 53% and Bernadette Wilson (R) at 47%.
When is the 2026 Alaska governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Dunleavy term-limited (2018+2022), open seat
Race News
Get the daily email and the spending series
We store the address and the time you agree. No email is sent yet.