Primary
Primary election: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D ±2.0 | 2026-05-21 | 570 RV | ±4.10 | Bale Dalton 41.00% | Cory Mills 39.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 FL-07 House race?
Bale Dalton leads Cory Mills 41% to 39% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 FL-07 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 FL-07 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Polling (D) (completed May 21, 2026), found Bale Dalton (D) at 41% and Cory Mills (R) at 39%.
When is the 2026 FL-07 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race News
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