Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bale Dalton ✓ | 21,740 | 45.5% | |
| Marialana Kinter | 16,987 | 35.6% | |
| Alan Grayson | 9,060 | 19.0% |
Republican Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Elijah ✓ | 31,532 | 47.3% | |
| Cory Lee Mills | 22,737 | 34.1% | |
| Sarah Ulrich | 7,004 | 10.5% | |
| Michael Don Johnson | 5,406 | 8.1% |
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 FL-07 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
When is the 2026 FL-07 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 30 min ago
Top Spenders
- BDA PAC Dem-aligned $700,000
- LCV VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $330,476
- PROJECT 218 Dem-aligned $316,000
- CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC. GOP-aligned $271,844
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $221,399
- STAND FOR FREEDOM PAC Dem-aligned $120,834
- MAGA INC. GOP-aligned $73,377
- CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC GOP-aligned $3,641
- WELCOMEPAC Dem-aligned $1,900
- FIELD TEAM 6, INC. Dem-aligned $1,386
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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