Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Katy Padilla Stout ✓ | 30,667 | 52.0% | |
| Santos Limon | 16,042 | 27.2% | |
| Bruce Richardson | 6,939 | 11.8% | |
| Gretel Enck | 5,302 | 9.0% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Herrera ✓ | 23,857 | 43.3% | |
| Tony Gonzales ✓ | 22,979 | 41.7% | |
| Keith Barton | 4,672 | 8.5% | |
| Quico Canseco | 3,562 | 6.4% | |
| Francisco Canseco | 3,554 | 6.5% |
Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 TX-23 House race?
the Republican leads the Democrat 42% to 40% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+2.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 TX-23 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
When is the 2026 TX-23 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 52 min ago
Top Spenders
- FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND GOP-aligned $803,589
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $299,358
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $237,944
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $147,392
- SOMOS PAC Dem-aligned $102,960
- HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST Dem-aligned $75,200
- HISPANIC LEADERSHIP ACTION Dem-aligned $72,919
- TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE Dem-aligned $35,000
- GUN RIGHTS AMERICA GOP-aligned $6,000
- PATRIOTIC LEADERSHIP PAC GOP-aligned $3,200
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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