Minnesota Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 11, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Amy Klobuchar 614,956 92.3%
Kobey J Layne 40,421 6.1%
Mohammad Wazwaz 10,595 1.6%
Thomas Evenstad 5 0.0%
Po Vang 1 0.0%
99% reporting

Republican Primary

Held August 11, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Lisa Demuth 179,714 43.1%
Mike Lindell 134,326 32.2%
Kendall Qualls 88,440 21.2%
Loner Blue
Raul J Estrada
99% reporting

Full calendar and every race: Minnesota primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Tim Walz)
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Safe D our polls experts: Lean D
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Safe D
Our polling average D+13.7 · 3 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

</> Embed this chart on your site

Free to embed — the chart credits and links back to PollingSource.

Share X Facebook Race page

Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Lean D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar Nominee

Democrat
Lisa Demuth

Lisa Demuth Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
50.0%
Republican
36.3%
Margin
D+13.7
Last Poll
Sep 2, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
TIPP Insights partisan·R ±2.5 2026-09-02 1494 RV ±2.70 Amy Klobuchar 47.00% Lisa Demuth 37.00%
SurveyUSA 2026-08-28 661 LV Amy Klobuchar 52.00% Lisa Demuth 36.00%
KTSP/SurveyUSA 2026-08-17 661 LV ±4.30 Amy Klobuchar 51.00% Lisa Demuth 36.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Minnesota governor's race?

Amy Klobuchar leads Lisa Demuth 50% to 36.3% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+13.7 margin based on 3 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Minnesota governor's race competitive?

No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Minnesota governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from TIPP Insights (completed September 2, 2026), found Amy Klobuchar (D) at 47% and Lisa Demuth (R) at 37%.

When is the 2026 Minnesota governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

No MN term limits; Walz seeking a third term

Race News