Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 9, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Baldacci | 24,966 | 31.7% | |
| Matthew Dunlap ✓ | 22,933 | 29.1% | |
| Jordan Wood | 22,712 | 28.8% | |
| Paige Loud | 8,194 | 10.4% |
Republican Primary
Held June 9, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul LePage ✓ | 69,233 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Maine primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-16 | 600 LV | ±4.00 | Matt Dunlap 49.00% | Paul LePage 48.00% |
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 ME-02 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 ME-02 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Tulchin Research (D) (completed July 16, 2026), found Matt Dunlap (D) at 49% and Paul LePage (R) at 48%.
When is the 2026 ME-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- PROJECT 218 Dem-aligned $906,861
- REAL CHANGE PAC GOP-aligned $519,816
- NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION Dem-aligned $50,606
- THE CONSERVATIVE CAUCUS DBA AMERICANS FOR CONSTITUTIONAL LIBERTY GOP-aligned $23,077
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.