New Hampshire District 1

NH-01 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held September 8, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Stefany Shaheen ✓ 28,633 37.4%
Maura C. Sullivan 26,784 35.0%
Carleigh Beriont 16,753 21.9%
Christian Urrutia 1,187 1.6%
Sarah E. Chadzynski 1,125 1.5%
Heath Howard 813 1.1%
Sarah Bella Spinosa 529 0.7%
Bill Conlin 426 0.6%
Matthew Emerson 334 0.4%

Republican Primary

Held September 8, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Anthony DiLorenzo ✓ 28,471 52.0%
Hollie Noveletsky 14,364 26.2%
Brian D. Cole 7,857 14.3%
Melissa Bailey 2,252 4.1%
Lindsey Anderson 1,846 3.4%

Full calendar and every race: New Hampshire primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Chris Pappas)
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Lean D our polls experts: Likely D
State delegation
2D - 0R
Open Seat
Yes
Cook PVI
D+2

PollingSource Rating

Lean D
Our polling average D+4.0 · 1 poll

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Likely D

Inside Elections

Likely D

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely D

Candidates

Stefany Shaheen

Stefany Shaheen Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $3,015,195
Cash on Hand: $429,260

Anthony Dilorenzo Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $5,067,977
Cash on Hand: $596,218

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
46.0%
Republican
42.0%
Margin
D+4.0
Last Poll
Sep 21, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
University of New Hampshire 2026-09-21 711 LV ±3.70 Stefany Shaheen 46.00% Anthony DiLorenzo 42.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 NH-01 House race?

Stefany Shaheen leads Anthony Dilorenzo 46% to 42% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.0 margin based on 1 poll, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 NH-01 House race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 NH-01 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from University of New Hampshire (completed September 21, 2026), found Stefany Shaheen (D) at 46% and Anthony DiLorenzo (R) at 42%.

When is the 2026 NH-01 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$12,636,457
Total IE Spending
$7,750,962
Support
$4,885,495
Oppose

Top Spenders

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Race News

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