Research Co.
59 scored general-election polls (2018–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | 3.4 pts | Even | 89% |
| 2021 | 2 | 1.9 pts | D+1.9 | 100% |
| 2020 | 15 | 5.1 pts | D+5.1 | 100% |
| 2018 | 21 | 4.1 pts | R+1.1 | 90% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-05 | CA Senate | D+16.0 | D+21.8 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | WI Governor | Even | D+3.4 | 3.4 | — |
| 2022-11-05 | PA Governor | D+12.0 | D+14.8 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | OH Governor | R+22.0 | R+25.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | NY Governor | D+10.0 | D+7.3 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | NV Governor | R+2.0 | R+1.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | IL Governor | D+20.0 | D+12.5 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | GA Governor | R+7.0 | R+7.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | FL Governor | R+14.0 | R+19.4 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | CA Governor | D+20.0 | D+18.4 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | AZ Governor | R+2.0 | D+0.7 | 2.7 | ✗ |
| 2022-11-05 | WI Senate | R+6.0 | R+1.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | PA Senate | D+1.0 | D+4.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | OH Senate | R+8.0 | R+6.1 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | NY Senate | D+20.0 | D+14.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | NV Senate | R+1.0 | D+0.8 | 1.8 | ✗ |
| 2022-11-05 | IL Senate | D+18.0 | D+15.3 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | GA Senate | Even | D+1.0 | 1.0 | — |
| 2022-11-05 | FL Senate | R+10.0 | R+16.4 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | CA Senate | D+16.0 | D+22.1 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-05 | AZ Senate | D+4.0 | D+4.9 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2021-10-31 | VA Governor | R+1.0 | R+1.9 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2021-10-31 | NJ Governor | D+6.0 | D+3.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-11-01 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | NJ Senate | D+23.0 | D+16.3 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | MN Senate | D+11.0 | D+5.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | MI Senate | D+15.0 | D+1.7 | 13.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | IL Senate | D+22.0 | D+16.1 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | WI President | D+8.0 | D+0.6 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | PA President | D+6.0 | D+1.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | OH President | Even | R+8.0 | 8.0 | — |
| 2020-10-31 | NY President | D+28.0 | D+22.1 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | NJ President | D+18.0 | D+15.9 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | MN President | D+9.0 | D+7.1 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | MI President | D+7.0 | D+2.8 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | IL President | D+17.0 | D+17.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-05 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | WI Governor | D+1.0 | D+1.1 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | PA Governor | D+15.0 | D+17.1 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | OH Governor | Even | R+3.7 | 3.7 | — |
| 2018-11-02 | NY Governor | D+17.0 | D+24.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | NM Governor | D+12.0 | D+14.4 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | MN Governor | D+6.0 | D+11.4 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | MI Governor | D+4.0 | D+9.6 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | FL Governor | D+1.0 | R+0.4 | 1.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-11-02 | CA Governor | D+20.0 | D+23.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | AZ Governor | R+15.0 | R+14.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | MN Senate | D+10.0 | D+10.6 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | WI Senate | D+11.0 | D+10.8 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | PA Senate | D+17.0 | D+13.1 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | OH Senate | D+14.0 | D+6.9 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | NY Senate | D+28.0 | D+33.4 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | NM Senate | D+14.0 | D+23.6 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | MN Senate | D+20.0 | D+24.1 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | MI Senate | D+16.0 | D+6.5 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | FL Senate | D+1.0 | R+0.1 | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-11-02 | CA Senate | D+19.0 | D+8.3 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | AZ Senate | D+1.0 | D+2.3 | 1.3 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.