Today's Source

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

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Trump attacks Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed with anti-Muslim rhetoric

Polls

National Generic View race View race
Reuters/Ipsos (n=1164 LV) · Field ended Oct 26
Democrats 53% · Republicans 44%
National Generic View race View race
Morning Consult (n=17491 LV) · Field ended Oct 25
Democrats 50% · Republicans 43%
National Generic View race View race
Rasmussen Reports (n=1755 LV) · Field ended Oct 21
Democrats 48% · Republicans 43%
AK Governor View race View race
Alaska Survey Research (n=1068 LV) · Field ended Oct 25
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 53% · Bernadette Wilson 47%
FL Governor View race View race
RedBox Research (n=4832 LV) · Field ended Oct 23
David Jolly 44% · Byron Donalds 49%
MI Governor View race View race
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov (n=836 LV) · Field ended Oct 19
Jocelyn Benson 53.3% · John James 40.9%
MI Governor View race View race
MSU/YouGov (n=1000 LV) · Field ended Oct 19
Jocelyn Benson 53.3% · John James 40.9%
MI Governor View race View race
Michigan State/YouGov (n=863 LV) · Field ended Oct 19
Jocelyn Benson 53% · John James 41%

Explore all polls and averages →

Follow the Money

Texas Senate: Record Fundraising in the Talarico-Paxton Race

The new FEC filings show James Talarico, the Democrat running in the Texas Senate race, reporting $146,349,912.38 in total receipts and $136,427,054.98 in disbursements, leaving him with $9,922,857.40 cash on hand heading into the final stretch. The scale of spending underscores how competitive and expensive the Texas contest has become, with Talarico's campaign burning through nearly 93 percent of everything it raised.

Georgia Senate: Ossoff Reports Deep War Chest

Jon Ossoff, the Democrat in the Georgia Senate race, filed receipts of $115,904,485.77 against disbursements of $105,760,716.56, leaving him with $15,134,335.92 on hand — the largest remaining cash balance among the Senate filings in this batch.

Ohio and Michigan Senate: Brown and El-Sayed Filings

In the Ohio Senate race, Democrat Sherrod Brown reported $68,409,199.85 in receipts and $63,956,396.53 in disbursements, leaving $4,452,803.32 on hand. In the Michigan Senate race, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed filed $53,830,872.19 in receipts against $51,096,843.30 in disbursements, with $2,734,028.89 remaining in the bank. Both campaigns closed out the period with the smallest cash reserves among the Senate Democrats in this filing batch, a factor worth watching given 7 days remain before polls close.

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Headlines

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What to Watch

🗳 Voting this week

7 governor races are rated Toss-up: Georgia, Kansas, Nebraska, Nevada, Ohio, Oregon, and Vermont.

Election Day Arrives Tuesday

House watchers should track the Arizona delegation, where three districts (1st, 2nd, and 6th) are all rated Toss-up, along with a dense bloc of competitive Florida seats spanning the 7th, 9th, 13th, 16th, 22nd, and 25th districts. Ohio and New York each carry multiple Toss-up districts as well, meaning late counts there could shape the overall House math.

With results arriving Tuesday night and in the days after, margins in the closest races — particularly the Toss-up Senate contests — may not be final immediately. Watch for certification timelines in states with narrow results before drawing conclusions on control of either chamber.

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New Polls (32)

Alaska Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 16, 2026 Data for Progress n=671 LV · ±4 Peltola 51%–Sullivan 49% D+2.0
Florida Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 23, 2026 RedBox Research (D) n=4,832 LV · ±2.5 Nixon 43%–Moody 50% R+7.0
Oct 20, 2026 co/efficient n=1,014 LV Nixon 40%–Gillespie (Ind) 2%–Moody 48% R+8.0
Georgia Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 17, 2026 Quantus Insights n=755 LV · ±3.8 Ossoff 51.8%–Collins 44.9% D+6.9
Idaho Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 15, 2026 Peak Insights n=500 LV · ±4 Achilles 27%–Risch 54% R+27.0
Kansas Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 23, 2026 RedBox Research (D) n=1,301 LV · ±3.2 Hamilton 45%–Marshall 46% R+1.0
Michigan Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 19, 2026 Michigan State/YouGov n=863 LV · ±4.4 El-Sayed 48%–Rogers 46% D+2.0
Montana Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 18, 2026 Quantus Insights n=686 LV Bankhead 29%–Bodnar (Ind) 21%–Alme 46% R+17.0
New Hampshire Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 23, 2026 Rasmussen Reports n=970 LV · ±3 Pappas 50%–Sununu 44% D+6.0
North Carolina Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 25, 2026 Quantus Insights n=722 LV · ±4 Cooper 51%–Whatley 43% D+8.0
Ohio Senate View race 5 polls
Oct 23, 2026 RedBox Research (D) n=2,998 LV · ±4.6 Brown 47%–Husted 44% D+3.0
Oct 22, 2026 InsiderAdvantage n=1,200 LV · ±2.8 Brown 47%–Husted 44% D+3.0
Oct 20, 2026 Verasight n=531 LV Brown 47.5%–Husted 43.6% D+3.9
Oct 19, 2026 Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research n=1,592 LV Brown 52%–Husted 47% D+5.0
Oct 13, 2026 New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group n=959 LV Brown 49%–Husted 43% D+6.0
South Carolina Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 25, 2026 Targoz Market Research n=895 LV Andrews 46%–Graham 47% R+1.0
South Dakota Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 19, 2026 Quantus Insights (R) n=633 LV · ±4.1 Bengs 37%–Rounds 57% R+20.0
Oct 14, 2026 SDNW/Mason-Dixon n=500 LV · ±4 Bengs 37%–Rounds 56% R+19.0
Texas Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 20, 2026 Verasight n=601 LV Talarico 47.6%–Paxton 45.2% D+2.4
Oct 14, 2026 ActiVote n=400 LV · ±4.9 Talarico 51.9%–Paxton 48.1% D+3.8
Alaska Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 25, 2026 Alaska Survey Research n=1,068 LV · ±3.5 Kreiss-Tomkins 53%–Wilson 47% D+6.0
Florida Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 23, 2026 RedBox Research n=4,832 LV · ±2.5 Jolly 44%–Donalds 49% R+5.0
Michigan Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 19, 2026 Michigan State/YouGov n=863 LV · ±4.4 Benson 53%–James 41% D+12.0
Nevada Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 23, 2026 RedBox Research n=1,407 LV · ±3.6 Ford 46%–Lombardo 43% D+3.0
Ohio Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 23, 2026 RedBox Research (D) n=2,998 LV · ±4.6 Acton 48%–Ramaswamy 44% D+4.0
South Carolina Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 25, 2026 Targoz Market Research n=895 LV · ±2.8 Johnson 41%–Wilson 51% R+10.0
Florida CD-07 View race 1 poll
Oct 19, 2026 DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department n=414 LV · ±4.8 Dalton 45%–Elijah 45% Even
New Hampshire CD-01 View race 1 poll
Oct 20, 2026 Saint Anselm n=861 LV Shaheen 46%–DiLorenzo 42% D+4.0
Texas CD-28 View race 1 poll
Oct 13, 2026 DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department n=563 LV Cuellar 54%–Tijerina 34% D+20.0
Generic View race 3 polls
Oct 26, 2026 Reuters/Ipsos n=1,164 LV Democrats 53%–Republicans 44% D+9.0
Oct 25, 2026 Morning Consult n=17,491 LV Democrats 50%–Republicans 43% D+7.0
Oct 21, 2026 Rasmussen Reports n=1,755 LV · ±3 Democrats 48%–Republicans 43% D+5.0

Added to the Archive (40)

Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.

Sep 2026 – Oct 2026 Alaska Senate View race 3 polls added
Sep 2026 – Oct 2026 Florida Senate View race 7 polls added
Sep 2026 Georgia Senate View race 1 poll added
Oct 2026 Iowa Senate View race 1 poll added
Oct 2026 Maine Senate View race 1 poll added
Jun 2026 – Aug 2026 Michigan Senate View race 3 polls added
Jun 2026 Montana Senate View race 1 poll added
Sep 2026 Nebraska Senate View race 1 poll added
Jun 2026 – Oct 2026 Ohio Senate View race 7 polls added
Jun 2026 – Oct 2026 Texas Senate View race 3 polls added
Oct 2026 Connecticut Governor View race 1 poll added
Oct 2026 Arizona CD-01 View race 1 poll added
Sep 2026 Maine CD-02 View race 1 poll added
Sep 2026 Minnesota CD-01 View race 1 poll added
Jun 2026 New Hampshire CD-02 View race 1 poll added
Oct 2026 New Jersey CD-02 View race 1 poll added
Aug 2026 New York CD-21 View race 2 polls added
Aug 2026 Ohio CD-07 View race 1 poll added
Oct 2026 Texas CD-23 View race 1 poll added
Jul 2026 Texas CD-28 View race 1 poll added
Sep 2026 Virginia CD-05 View race 1 poll added

Rating Changes

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Florida Senate Safe Republican → Likely Republican

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