Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 9, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ford ✓ | 118,831 | 63.3% | |
| Alexis Hill | 44,849 | 23.9% | |
| James Cooper | 6,657 | 3.5% | |
| Sunshine Arterburn | 5,012 | 2.7% | |
| Emile Bouari | 2,795 | 1.5% | |
| Miqehl Bayfield | 2,172 | 1.2% |
Republican Primary
Held June 9, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Lombardo ✓ | 172,150 | 90.8% | |
| None of These Candidates | 7,502 | 4.0% | |
| Irina Hansen | 4,114 | 2.2% | |
| Matthew Winterhawk | 3,452 | 1.8% | |
| Donald J. Beaudry Jr. | 2,482 | 1.3% | |
| M. Kameron Hawkins | 1,230 | 0.7% | |
| Jose M. Zalaya | 1,095 | 0.6% | |
| Barak Zilberberg | 744 | 0.4% |
Full calendar and every race: Nevada primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
Share
Race page
Candidates
Joe Lombardo Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanAaron Ford Nominee
DemocratGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedBox Research In average | 2026-10-23 this poll | 1407 LV | ±3.60 | Aaron Ford 46.00% | Joe Lombardo 43.00% |
| Global Strategy Group (D) D-sponsored In average | 2026-10-13 this poll | 700 LV | ±3.70 | Aaron Ford 47.00% | Joe Lombardo 48.00% |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) D-sponsored In average | 2026-09-30 this poll | 565 LV | ±4.10 | Aaron Ford 42.00% | Joe Lombardo 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Nevada governor's race?
Aaron Ford leads Joe Lombardo 45% to 44.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+0.3 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Nevada governor's race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Nevada governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from RedBox Research (completed October 23, 2026), found Aaron Ford (D) at 46% and Joe Lombardo (R) at 43%.
When is the 2026 Nevada governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term, swing state
Race News
Get the daily email and the spending series
We store the address and the time you agree. No email is sent yet.