Nevada Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Aaron Ford ✓ 118,831 63.3%
Alexis Hill 44,849 23.9%
James Cooper 6,657 3.5%
Sunshine Arterburn 5,012 2.7%
Emile Bouari 2,795 1.5%
Miqehl Bayfield 2,172 1.2%

Republican Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Joe Lombardo ✓ 172,150 90.8%
None of These Candidates 7,502 4.0%
Irina Hansen 4,114 2.2%
Matthew Winterhawk 3,452 1.8%
Donald J. Beaudry Jr. 2,482 1.3%
M. Kameron Hawkins 1,230 0.7%
Jose M. Zalaya 1,095 0.6%
Barak Zilberberg 744 0.4%

Full calendar and every race: Nevada primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Joe Lombardo
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls
Polls
1 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average R+1.0 · 1 poll

General Election Polling Trend

Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Toss-up

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Joe Lombardo

Joe Lombardo Nominee Incumbent

Republican

Aaron Ford Nominee

Democrat

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
37.0%
Republican
38.0%
Margin
R+1.0
Last Poll
Sep 26, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Noble Predictive Insights ±4.0 2026-09-26 800 RV ±3.50 Aaron Ford 37.00% Joe Lombardo 38.00%
Emerson ±2.7 2026-09-08 680 LV ±3.70 Aaron Ford 44.00% Joe Lombardo 42.00%
Tarrance Group (R) 2026-07-29 LV ±4.30 Aaron Ford 43.00% Joe Lombardo 50.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Nevada governor's race?

Joe Lombardo leads Aaron Ford 38% to 37% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+1.0 margin based on 1 poll from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Nevada governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Nevada governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Noble Predictive Insights (completed September 26, 2026), found Aaron Ford (D) at 37% and Joe Lombardo (R) at 38%.

When is the 2026 Nevada governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of scientific public polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days. One poll in that week is the average. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists the polls from that window. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term, swing state

Race News