Nevada Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Primary held June 9, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Aaron Ford 118,831 63.3%
Alexis Hill 44,849 23.9%
James Cooper 6,657 3.5%
Sunshine Arterburn 5,012 2.7%
Emile Bouari 2,795 1.5%
Miqehl Bayfield 2,172 1.2%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Joe Lombardo 172,150 90.8%
None of These Candidates 7,502 4.0%
Irina Hansen 4,114 2.2%
Matthew Winterhawk 3,452 1.8%
Donald J. Beaudry Jr. 2,482 1.3%
M. Kameron Hawkins 1,230 0.7%
Jose M. Zalaya 1,095 0.6%
Barak Zilberberg 744 0.4%

Full calendar and every race: Nevada primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Joe Lombardo
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average R+2.0 · 3 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Toss-up

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Aaron Ford Nominee

Democrat

Joe Lombardo Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
44.3%
Republican
46.3%
Margin
R+2.0
Last Poll
Jul 16, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D ±2.0 2026-07-16 558 LV ±4.20 Aaron Ford 44.00% Joe Lombardo 44.00%
Wedgewood Polls 2026-07-12 700 LV ±4.70 Aaron Ford 47.00% Joe Lombardo 50.00%
Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D 2026-05-11 700 LV ±3.70 Aaron Ford 42.00% Joe Lombardo 45.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Nevada governor's race?

Joe Lombardo leads Aaron Ford 46.3% to 44.3% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+2.0 margin based on 3 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 Nevada governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Nevada governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Polling (D) (completed July 16, 2026), found Aaron Ford (D) at 44% and Joe Lombardo (R) at 44%.

When is the 2026 Nevada governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term, swing state

Race News