Nevada Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Aaron Ford 118,831 63.3%
Alexis Hill 44,849 23.9%
James Cooper 6,657 3.5%
Sunshine Arterburn 5,012 2.7%
Emile Bouari 2,795 1.5%
Miqehl Bayfield 2,172 1.2%

Republican Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Joe Lombardo 172,150 90.8%
None of These Candidates 7,502 4.0%
Irina Hansen 4,114 2.2%
Matthew Winterhawk 3,452 1.8%
Donald J. Beaudry Jr. 2,482 1.3%
M. Kameron Hawkins 1,230 0.7%
Jose M. Zalaya 1,095 0.6%
Barak Zilberberg 744 0.4%

Full calendar and every race: Nevada primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Joe Lombardo
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up expert avg
Polls
1 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Toss-up

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Joe Lombardo

Joe Lombardo Nominee Incumbent

Republican

Aaron Ford Nominee

Democrat

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
44.0%
Republican
42.0%
Margin
D+2.0
Last Poll
Sep 8, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Emerson ±2.7 2026-09-08 680 LV ±3.70 Aaron Ford 44.00% Joe Lombardo 42.00%
Tarrance Group (R) 2026-07-29 LV ±4.30 Aaron Ford 43.00% Joe Lombardo 50.00%
Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D ±2.0 2026-07-16 558 LV ±4.20 Aaron Ford 44.00% Joe Lombardo 44.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Nevada governor's race?

Aaron Ford leads Joe Lombardo 44% to 42% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Nevada governor's race competitive?

Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Nevada governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Emerson (completed September 8, 2026), found Aaron Ford (D) at 44% and Joe Lombardo (R) at 42%.

When is the 2026 Nevada governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term, swing state

Race News