Virginia District 5

VA-05 • 2026 Election
Back to House Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Tom S. P. Perriello 29,551 79.9%
Suzanne K. "Dr. K" Krzyzanowski 5,327 14.4%
Rob W. "T-ski" Tracinski 2,130 5.8%

Republican Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
John J. McGuire III 41,746 84.4%
Melanie V. Lucero 7,737 15.6%

Full calendar and every race: Virginia primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
John McGuire
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+12

Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Thomas Perriello Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $2,140,402
Cash on Hand: $1,511,291

John McGuire Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $1,781,840
Cash on Hand: $524,346

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Expedition Strategies (D) 2026-08-01 602 LV ±3.99 Tom Perriello 44.00% John McGuire 47.00%

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 VA-05 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 VA-05 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Expedition Strategies (D) (completed August 1, 2026), found Tom Perriello (D) at 44% and John McGuire (R) at 47%.

When is the 2026 VA-05 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Defeated Bob Good in 2024 primary

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.