South Carolina Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat (Term Limited)
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jermaine Johnson 221,951 59.7%
Billy Webster 110,303 29.7%
William Mullins McLeod Jr. 39,739 10.7%

Republican Runoff

Held June 23, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Alan Wilson 218,569 68.6%
Pamela Evette 100,227 31.4%

Full calendar and every race: South Carolina primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Henry McMaster)
Party
Republican
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Term Limited
Yes
Polls
1 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Jermaine Johnson Nominee

Democrat
Alan Wilson

Alan Wilson Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
42.0%
Republican
50.0%
Margin
R+8.0
Last Poll
Aug 15, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Hart Research (D) partisan·D D-sponsored 2026-08-15 600 V Jermaine Johnson 42.00% Alan Wilson 50.00%
Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D ±2.0 2026-07-17 577 V Jermaine Johnson 37.00% Alan Wilson 45.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 South Carolina governor's race?

Alan Wilson leads Jermaine Johnson 50% to 42% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+8.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 South Carolina governor's race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 South Carolina governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Hart Research (D) (completed August 15, 2026), found Jermaine Johnson (D) at 42% and Alan Wilson (R) at 50%.

When is the 2026 South Carolina governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Term-limited, open seat

Race News