Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 9, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Johnson ✓ | 221,751 | 59.7% | |
| Billy Webster | 110,267 | 29.7% | |
| William Mullins McLeod Jr. | 39,739 | 10.7% | |
| Mullins Mcleod | 39,710 | 10.7% |
Republican Runoff
Held June 23, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Wilson ✓ | 218,548 | 68.6% | |
| Pamela Evette | 100,220 | 31.4% |
Full calendar and every race: South Carolina primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Jermaine Johnson Nominee
Democrat
Alan Wilson Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research In average | 2026-10-25 this poll | 895 LV | ±2.77 | Jermaine Johnson 41.00% | Alan Wilson 51.00% |
| Trafalgar Group R-sponsored missed 2024 by 1.8 pts In average | 2026-10-18 this poll | 1095 LV | ±2.90 | Jermaine Johnson 37.00% | Alan Wilson 53.00% |
| National Public Affairs R-sponsored In average | 2026-10-16 this poll | 604 LV | ±4.00 | Jermaine Johnson 41.00% | Alan Wilson 51.00% |
| Resonance Media Not in average | 2026-10-03 this poll | 638 RV | ±3.70 | Jermaine Johnson 35.00% | Alan Wilson 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 South Carolina governor's race?
Alan Wilson leads Jermaine Johnson 51.7% to 39.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+12.0 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 South Carolina governor's race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 South Carolina governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from Targoz Market Research (completed October 25, 2026), found Jermaine Johnson (D) at 41% and Alan Wilson (R) at 51%.
When is the 2026 South Carolina governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Term-limited, open seat
Race News
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