Today's Source

Friday, October 23, 2026

← Oct 22

Trump defended an attack ad in the Ohio governor race featuring the Democratic candidate's estranged mother, which multiple outlets reported today

Polls

Explore all polls and averages →

Follow the Money

The Follow the Money section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.

Headlines

Continue reading →

What to Watch

5 governor races are rated Toss-up: Georgia, Nevada, Ohio, Oregon, and Vermont.

What to Watch Over the Final Stretch

Watch Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Nebraska and Maine, all carrying Toss-up Senate ratings per PollingSource. Michigan and Iowa also feature competitive House contests layered beneath their Senate races — Iowa's 2nd and 3rd districts and Michigan's 4th are all rated Toss-up, meaning statewide trends there could carry real downstream consequences for House control.

House watchers should track clusters rather than single districts: Florida carries six Toss-up seats, New York four, and Virginia two, alongside Toss-up contests in Arizona, Colorado, Missouri, Montana, Texas, Washington and Wisconsin. No single race will decide the chamber, but the accumulation across these states will.

Continue reading →

New Polls (33)

Alabama Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 17, 2026 Cygnal (R) n=500 LV · ±4.4 Everett W Wess 35% – Barry Moore 50% R+15
Alaska Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 16, 2026 Data for Progress (D) n=660 LV · ±4 Mary Peltola 50% – Dan S. Sullivan 50% Even
Oct 10, 2026 InsiderAdvantage (R) n=1,200 LV · ±2.8 Mary Peltola 50% – Dan S. Sullivan 48% D+2
Florida Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 15, 2026 ActiVote n=400 LV · ±4.9 Angie Nixon 46.9% – Ashley Moody 53.1% R+6.2
Maine Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 20, 2026 FOX News n=1,514 LV · ±2.5 Jackson 49% – Collins 49% Even
Minnesota Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 21, 2026 Rasmussen Reports n=1,182 LV · ±3 Flanagan 48% – Tafoya 45% D+3
New Hampshire Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 20, 2026 St. Anselm n=1,672 LV · ±2.4 Pappas 50% – Sununu 43% D+7
North Carolina Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 20, 2026 Carolina Journal/Harper n=600 LV · ±4 Cooper 49% – Whatley 39% D+10
Oct 20, 2026 ActiVote n=400 LV · ±4.9 Roy Cooper 56.9% – Michael Whatley 43.1% D+13.8
Ohio Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 20, 2026 Versalight/VoteHub n=531 LV · ±4.2 Sherrod Brown 48% – Jon Husted 44% D+4
Oct 18, 2026 ActiVote n=400 LV · ±4.9 Sherrod Brown 49.8% – Jon Husted 50.2% R+0.4
Texas Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 19, 2026 Emerson College n=1,000 LV · ±3 James Talarico 49% – Ken Paxton 48% D+1
Alaska Governor View race 3 polls
Oct 18, 2026 Alaska Survey Research n=1,568 LV · ±3 Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 51% – Bernadette Wilson 33% D+18
Oct 16, 2026 Data for Progress (D) n=660 LV · ±4 Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 50% – Bernadette Wilson 50% Even
Oct 16, 2026 Data for Progress (D) n=648 LV · ±4 Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 50% – Bernadette Wilson 33% D+17
California Governor View race 2 polls
Oct 19, 2026 Emerson n=1,000 LV · ±3.1 Xavier Becerra 60% – Steve Hilton 33% D+27
Oct 16, 2026 ActiVote n=400 LV · ±4.9 Xavier Becerra 62.8% – Steve Hilton 37.2% D+25.6
Georgia Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 20, 2026 ActiVote n=400 LV · ±4.9 Keisha Bottoms 48.5% – Rick Jackson 51.5% R+3
Maine Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 20, 2026 Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Co. Research (R) n=1,514 LV · ±2.5 Hannah Pingree 49% – Robert Charles 39% D+10
Nebraska Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 18, 2026 National Public Affairs (R) n=598 LV · ±4 Lynne Walz 41% – Jim Pillen 47% R+6
New Hampshire Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 20, 2026 Saint Anselm College n=1,672 LV · ±2.4 Cinde Warmington 42% – Kelly Ayotte 50% R+8
Ohio Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 20, 2026 Verasight/VoteHub n=531 LV · ±4.2 Amy Acton 48% – Vivek Ramaswamy 44% D+4
Pennsylvania Governor View race 2 polls
Oct 21, 2026 ActiVote n=400 LV · ±4.9 Josh Shapiro 61.5% – Stacy Garrity 38.5% D+23
Oct 18, 2026 Franklin & Marshall n=433 LV · ±5.6 Shapiro 59% – Garrity 36% D+23
Rhode Island Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 11, 2026 Emerson n=800 LV · ±3.5 Sabina Matos 44% – John Loughlin 45% R+1
South Carolina Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 16, 2026 National Public Affairs n=604 LV · ±4 Jermaine Johnson 41% – Alan Wilson 51% R+10
Texas Governor View race 2 polls
Oct 19, 2026 Emerson College n=1,000 LV · ±3 Gina Hinojosa 45% – Greg Abbott 49% R+4
Oct 18, 2026 Pollfinity n=278 LV Gina Hinojosa 46% – Greg Abbott 45% D+1
Alaska At-Large View race 1 poll
Oct 16, 2026 Data for Progress (D) n=668 LV · ±4 Hafner 5%–Hill (Ind) 45%–Begich 50% R+5.0
Colorado CD-05 View race 1 poll
Oct 18, 2026 Global Strategy Group (D) n=500 LV · ±4.4 Jessica Willow Killin 43% – Jeff Crank 38% D+5
Texas CD-35 View race 1 poll
Oct 14, 2026 Emerson College n=417 LV Johnny Garcia 51% – Carlos De La Cruz Jr 49% D+2
Generic View race 2 polls
Oct 20, 2026 Economist/YouGov n=1,312 LV Democrats 50% – Republicans 43% D+7
Oct 19, 2026 CNBC n=1,000 RV · ±3.1 Democrats 52% – Republicans 45% D+7

Added to the Archive (33)

Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.

Sep 2026 Alaska Senate View race 1 poll added
Jul 2026 Maine Senate View race 2 polls added
Oct 2026 Michigan Senate View race 1 poll added
Sep 2025 – Sep 2026 New Hampshire Senate View race 6 polls added
Sep 2026 North Carolina Senate View race 1 poll added
Oct 2025 – Jan 2026 Texas Senate View race 2 polls added
Jul 2025 – Oct 2026 Alaska Governor View race 5 polls added
Apr 2025 Arizona Governor View race 1 poll added
Sep 2026 California Governor View race 1 poll added
Mar 2026 – May 2026 Florida Governor View race 3 polls added
Sep 2026 Maine Governor View race 1 poll added
Sep 2025 Massachusetts Governor View race 1 poll added
Aug 2025 Tennessee Governor View race 1 poll added
Oct 2025 – Jul 2026 Wisconsin Governor View race 2 polls added
Sep 2026 Iowa CD-01 View race 1 poll added
Jan 2026 – Aug 2026 Michigan CD-10 View race 2 polls added
Oct 2025 New Jersey CD-02 View race 1 poll added
Jul 2026 South Carolina CD-01 View race 1 poll added

How was today's briefing?

Get this briefing in your inbox every morning