Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Schultz | 10,195 | 8.1% | |
| Eric Hafner | 4,766 | 3.8% | |
| John B. Williams | 3,192 | 2.5% | |
| Yaquelin Reynoso | 2,248 | 1.8% |
Republican Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Begich | 58,133 | 46.2% | |
| Clay Strickland | 2,933 | 2.3% | |
| Eddie Goldfarb | 738 | 0.6% |
Libertarian Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| James C. “Jim” McDermott | 1,557 | 1.2% | |
| John E. Sr. Foddrill | 272 | 0.2% |
Nonpartisan Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Hill | 39,113 | 31.1% | |
| Melanie A. Salazar | 874 | 0.7% | |
| Lady Donna Dutchess | 504 | 0.4% | |
| David Richey | 437 | 0.4% | |
| David R. II Ambrose | 366 | 0.3% |
Undeclared Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew “Bronco” Williams | 450 | 0.4% |
Full calendar and every race: Alaska primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Bullfinch Group/Independent Center | 2026-07-16 | 705 LV | ±3.70 | Matt Schultz 32.00% | Nick Begich III 46.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 AK-AL House race?
Nick Begich III leads Matthew Damian Schultz 46% to 32% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+14.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 AK-AL House race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 AK-AL House race say?
The most recent public poll, from The Bullfinch Group/Independent Center (completed July 16, 2026), found Matt Schultz (D) at 32% and Nick Begich III (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 AK-AL House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Defeated Peltola 2024; ranked-choice voting state
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.