Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Bertrand Hines ✓ | 46,993 | 47.0% | |
| Eric Chung | 29,650 | 29.7% | |
| Tim Greimel | 23,307 | 23.3% |
Republican Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bouchard ✓ | 45,473 | 72.2% | |
| Justin Kirk | 11,388 | 18.1% | |
| Robert Lulgjuraj | 3,676 | 5.8% | |
| Steffan Demetropoulos | 2,430 | 3.9% |
Full calendar and every race: Michigan primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-08-13 | 600 | Christina Hines 45.00% | Michael Bouchard 45.00% | |
| Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 | 2026-01-17 | 592 RV | ±4.00 | width=100px| Christina Hines 44.00% | width=100px| Mike Bouchard Jr. 42.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 MI-10 House race?
Christina Hines leads Michael Bouchard 44.5% to 43.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+1.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 MI-10 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 MI-10 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Global Strategy Group (completed August 13, 2026), found Christina Hines (D) at 45% and Michael Bouchard (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 MI-10 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
[20260806: open-seat flag — incumbent retiring or seeking other office]
Independent Expenditures Updated 2 hours ago
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $4,235,934
- RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $1,059,150
- GIFFORDS PAC Dem-aligned $944,132
- PRO-CHOICE MAJORITY ACTION Dem-aligned $599,033
- AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E Dem-aligned $459,500
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $381,669
- LCV VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $358,477
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $327,805
- READY FOR THE FIGHT Dem-aligned $288,592
- HONOR, DUTY & DISCIPLINE PAC GOP-aligned $277,984
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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