Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 6, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerri Green ✓ | 252,933 | 68.9% | |
| Carnita Atwater | 65,664 | 17.9% | |
| Kevin Lee McCants | 19,987 | 5.5% | |
| Tim Cyr | — | — |
Republican Primary
Held August 6, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marsha Blackburn ✓ | 320,138 | 43.7% | |
| John Rose | 241,875 | 33.0% | |
| Monty Fritts | 171,052 | 23.3% |
Full calendar and every race: Tennessee primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
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Race page
Candidates
Jerri Green Nominee
Democrat
Marsha Blackburn Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | 2026-08-26 | 1149 RV | ±2.77 | Jerri Green 33.00% | Marsha Blackburn 46.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Tennessee governor's race?
Marsha Blackburn leads Jerri Green 46% to 33% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+13.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 Tennessee governor's race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Tennessee governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from Targoz Market Research (completed August 26, 2026), found Jerri Green (D) at 33% and Marsha Blackburn (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 Tennessee governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Bill Lee term-limited (two-term limit), open seat