Spry Strategies
3 scored general-election polls (2019–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2 | 4.2 pts | R+4.2 | 50% |
| 2019 | 1 | 7.2 pts | R+7.2 | 0% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-22 | National President | R+1.4 | D+4.4 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-22 | National President | D+1.9 | D+4.4 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2019-10-08 | LA Governor | R+4.5 | D+2.7 | 7.2 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.