Rhode Island Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held September 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Helena Buonanno Foulkes ✓ 81,189 62.5%
Daniel J Mckee 48,812 37.6%

Republican Primary

Held September 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Aaron Christopher Guckian 11,690 50.6%
Elaine M Pelino 11,431 49.4%

Full calendar and every race: Rhode Island primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Dan McKee — defeated in primary
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe D expert avg

The primary has been held. The general pairing is not locked yet. The PollingSource average is an average of those polls, not a forecast.

Race Ratings

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

Cook Political Report

Solid D

Inside Elections

Solid Democrat

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Safe Democratic

Candidates

Helena Foulkes

Helena Foulkes Nominee

Democrat
Aaron Guckian

Aaron Guckian Nominee

Republican

Ken Block Nominee

Independent

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Rhode Island governor's race?

The primary has been held and the general pairing is not locked yet. There is no PollingSource average for a locked general pairing yet.

Is the 2026 Rhode Island governor's race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.

When is the 2026 Rhode Island governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

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