Iowa District 1

IA-01 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Christina Bohannan ✓ 42,843 81.5%
Travis Terrell 9,754 18.5%

Republican Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks ✓ 35,165 71.6%
David Pautsch 13,949 28.4%

Full calendar and every race: Iowa primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Toss-up expert avg
State delegation
0D - 4R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+5

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.

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Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Lean D

Inside Elections

Tilt Democrat

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely R

Candidates

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

Mariannette Miller-Meeks Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $8,924,570
Cash on Hand: $2,607,710
Christina Bohannan

Christina Bohannan Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $9,468,352
Cash on Hand: $3,008,450

Michael Bridgford

Independent
Total Raised: $337,970
Cash on Hand: $95,908

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
41.5%
Republican
37.0%
Margin
D+4.5
Last Poll
Jul 16, 2026

No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
The Bullfinch Group/Independent Center 2026-07-16 705 LV ±3.70 Christina Bohannan 40.00% Mariannette Miller-Meeks 35.00%
Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 2025-06-19 555 V Christina Bohannan 43.00% Mariannette Miller-Meeks 39.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 IA-01 House race?

Christina Bohannan leads Mariannette Miller-Meeks 41.5% to 37% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.5 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).

Is the 2026 IA-01 House race competitive?

Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 IA-01 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from The Bullfinch Group/Independent Center (completed July 16, 2026), found Christina Bohannan (D) at 40% and Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) at 35%.

When is the 2026 IA-01 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$7,606,391
Total IE Spending
$2,393,369
Support
$5,213,021
Oppose

Top Spenders

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Race News

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