Iowa District 1

IA-01 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Christina Bohannan ✓ 42,843 81.5%
Travis Terrell 9,754 18.5%

Republican Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks ✓ 35,165 71.6%
David Pautsch 13,949 28.4%

Full calendar and every race: Iowa primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Likely R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+5

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.

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Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Likely R

Inside Elections

Likely R

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely R

Candidates

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

Mariannette Miller-Meeks Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $7,208,271
Cash on Hand: $4,691,481
Christina Bohannan

Christina Bohannan Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $7,051,745
Cash on Hand: $5,425,318

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
40.0%
Republican
35.0%
Margin
D+5.0
Last Poll
Jul 16, 2026

No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
The Bullfinch Group/Independent Center 2026-07-16 705 LV ±3.70 Christina Bohannan 40.00% Mariannette Miller-Meeks 35.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 IA-01 House race?

Christina Bohannan leads Mariannette Miller-Meeks 40% to 35% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+5.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).

Is the 2026 IA-01 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 IA-01 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from The Bullfinch Group/Independent Center (completed July 16, 2026), found Christina Bohannan (D) at 40% and Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) at 35%.

When is the 2026 IA-01 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$5,801,008
Total IE Spending
$1,737,331
Support
$4,063,677
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.