2026 Toss-up Races
The 33 races of the 2026 midterms that are too close to call — rated Toss-up by our polling average where enough polls exist, or by the expert consensus (Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections) where they don't. See the methodology for how ratings are derived.
Senate Toss-ups (5)
House Toss-ups (22)
AZ-01
Arizona
R
David Schweikert
Toss-up
AZ-06
Arizona
R
Juan Ciscomani
Toss-up
CA-22
California
R
David Valadao
Toss-up
CO-08
Colorado
R
Gabe Evans
2024: R+2
Toss-up
FL-07
Florida
R
Cory Mills
Toss-up
FL-13
Florida
R
Anna Paulina Luna
Toss-up
FL-22
Florida
D
Lois Frankel
Toss-up
KY-06
Kentucky
R
Andy Barr
Toss-up
MI-07
Michigan
R
Tom Barrett
Toss-up
MI-08
Michigan
D
Kristen McDonald Rivet
Toss-up
NC-01
North Carolina
D
Don Davis
Toss-up
NM-02
New Mexico
D
Gabe Vasquez
Toss-up
NY-17
New York
R
Mike Lawler
Toss-up
NY-19
New York
D
Josh Riley
2024: D+4
Toss-up
NY-21
New York
R
Elise Stefanik
Toss-up
OH-07
Ohio
R
Max Miller
Toss-up
OH-13
Ohio
D
Emilia Sykes
Toss-up
OR-05
Oregon
D
Janelle Bynum
2024: D+3
Toss-up
PA-07
Pennsylvania
R
Ryan Mackenzie
2024: R+3
Toss-up
PA-08
Pennsylvania
R
Rob Bresnahan
2024: R+3
Toss-up
TX-34
Texas
D
Vicente Gonzalez
Toss-up
VA-07
Virginia
D
Eugene Vindman
2024: D+2
Toss-up