2026 Toss-up Races
The 20 races of the 2026 midterms that are too close to call — rated Toss-up by our polling average where enough polls exist, or by the expert consensus (Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections) where they don't. See the methodology for how ratings are derived.
Senate Toss-ups (4)
House Toss-ups (14)
AZ-01
Arizona
D Amish ShahR Jay Feely
Toss-up
AZ-06
Arizona
R Juan Ciscomani
Toss-up
CA-22
California
R David Valadao
Toss-up
CO-08
Colorado
R Gabe Evans
2024: R+2
Toss-up
FL-22
Florida
D Pia DandiyaR Casey Askar
Toss-up
MI-07
Michigan
R Tom Barrett
Toss-up
MI-08
Michigan
D Kristen McDonald Rivet
Toss-up
NY-17
New York
R Mike Lawler
Toss-up
NY-19
New York
D Josh Riley
2024: D+4
Toss-up
OH-13
Ohio
D Emilia Sykes
Toss-up
OR-05
Oregon
D Janelle Bynum
2024: D+3
Toss-up
PA-07
Pennsylvania
R Ryan Mackenzie
2024: R+3
Toss-up
TX-15
Texas
R Monica De La Cruz
Toss-up
VA-07
Virginia
D Eugene Vindman
2024: D+2
Toss-up