2026 Toss-up Races
The 33 races of the 2026 midterms that are too close to call — rated Toss-up by our polling average when a poll ended in the last 30 days, or by the expert consensus (Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections) when none did. See the methodology for how ratings are derived.
Senate Toss-ups (5)
House Toss-ups (25)
| District | Race | 2024 | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ-01 Arizona | D Amish ShahR Jay Feely | — | |
| AZ-06 Arizona | D JoAnna MendozaR Juan Ciscomani | — | |
| CA-22 California | D Randy VillegasR David Valadao | — | |
| CA-47 California | D Dave MinR Jenny Rae Le Roux | — | |
| CO-08 Colorado | D Manny RutinelR Gabe Evans | R+2 | |
| FL-14 Florida | D Kathy CastorR Mike Beltran | — | |
| FL-25 Florida | D Jared MoskowitzR Scott M. Singer | — | |
| FL-27 Florida | D Eliott RodriguezR María Elvira Salazar | — | |
| GA-11 Georgia | D Chris HardenR John Cowan | — | |
| ME-02 Maine | D Matthew DunlapR Paul LePage | — | |
| MI-04 Michigan | D Sean McCannR William Huizenga | — | |
| MI-07 Michigan | D William LawrenceR Tom Barrett | — | |
| MO-02 Missouri | D Frederick WellmanR Ann Wagner | — | |
| MT-01 Montana | D Sam ForstagR Aaron FlintL Nick Sheedy | — | |
| NC-11 North Carolina | D Jamie AgerR Chuck Edwards | — | |
| NY-17 New York | D Cait ConleyR Mike Lawler | — | |
| NY-21 New York | D Blake GendebienR Anthony Thomas Constantino | — | |
| OH-07 Ohio | D Brian PoindexterR Max Miller | — | |
| OH-09 Ohio | D Marcy KapturR Derek Merrin | — | |
| PA-08 Pennsylvania | D Paige CognettiR Rob Bresnahan | R+3 | |
| TX-34 Texas | D Vicente GonzalezR Eric Flores | — | |
| VA-02 Virginia | D Elaine LuriaR Jen Kiggans | — | |
| VA-07 Virginia | D Eugene VindmanR Douglas Ollivant | D+2 | |
| WA-03 Washington | D Marie Gluesenkamp PerezR John Braun | — | |
| WI-01 Wisconsin | D Mitchell BermanR Bryan Steil | — |