Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pia Dandiya ✓ | 26,053 | 68.6% | |
| Kaysia Earley | 11,940 | 31.4% |
Republican Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Askar ✓ | 14,770 | 30.9% | |
| Michael Carbonara | 9,067 | 19.0% | |
| Belinda Keiser | 8,781 | 18.4% | |
| David Burck | 7,504 | 15.7% | |
| Terri Hasdorff | 3,682 | 7.7% | |
| Michael Thompson | 2,614 | 5.5% | |
| Richard Evans | 1,441 | 3.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
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Candidates
Pia Dandiya Nominee
DemocratGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavern Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-08-12 | 551 LV | ±4.90 | PIa Dandiya 50.00% | Casey Askar 50.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 FL-22 House race?
Pia Dandiya (D) and Casey Askar (R) are tied at 50% in the PollingSource polling average, based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 FL-22 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 FL-22 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Tavern Research (D) (completed August 12, 2026), found PIa Dandiya (D) at 50% and Casey Askar (R) at 50%.
When is the 2026 FL-22 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 3 hours ago
Top Spenders
- CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION Dem-aligned $714,839
- AMERICAN PACT Dem-aligned $336,000
- AMERICAN LIBERTY FOUNDATION GOP-aligned $281,462
- AMERICA'S RENEWAL PAC, INC. GOP-aligned $116,340
- FOR OUR CHILDREN FLORIDA PAC GOP-aligned $56,000
- MAKING CONGRESS GREAT AGAIN PAC GOP-aligned $48,490
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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