Primary
Primary election: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Full calendar and every race: Michigan primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBAO (D) partisan·D | 2026-06-01 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Sean McCann 48.00% | Bill Huizenga 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 MI-04 House race?
Sean McCann leads Bill Huizenga 48% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+3.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 MI-04 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive. Note: our polling average (Lean D) diverges from the expert consensus (Safe R) — that gap makes this a race to watch.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 MI-04 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from GBAO (D) (completed June 1, 2026), found Sean McCann (D) at 48% and Bill Huizenga (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 MI-04 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.