Michigan District 4

MI-04 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Sean McCann ✓ 66,137 65.7%
Diop Harris II 34,591 34.3%

Republican Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Bill Huizenga ✓ 72,143 85.0%
Philip Tanis 12,736 15.0%

Full calendar and every race: Michigan primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Bill Huizenga
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Toss-up expert avg
State delegation
6D - 7R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+10

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.

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Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Toss Up

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up
Changed from Leans Republican on Sep 15

Candidates

William Huizenga

William Huizenga Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $5,367,471
Cash on Hand: $1,856,768

Sean McCann Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $4,310,699
Cash on Hand: $1,320,322

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
44.0%
Republican
45.7%
Margin
R+1.7
Last Poll
Jun 1, 2026

No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
GBAO (D) partisan·D 2026-06-01 500 LV ±4.40 Sean McCann 48.00% Bill Huizenga 45.00%
Ragnar Research Partners (R) 2026-03-14 400 LV ±5.00 Sean McCann 42.00% Bill Huizenga 48.00%
Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 2025-11-21 559 RV ±4.10 Sean McCann 42.00% Bill Huizenga 44.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 MI-04 House race?

William Huizenga leads Sean McCann 45.7% to 44% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+1.7 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).

Is the 2026 MI-04 House race competitive?

Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 MI-04 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from GBAO (D) (completed June 1, 2026), found Sean McCann (D) at 48% and Bill Huizenga (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 MI-04 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated 7 hours ago

$16,464,950
Total IE Spending
$2,683,134
Support
$13,781,816
Oppose

Top Spenders

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Race News

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