Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shomari Figures ✓ | — | — |
Republican Special Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhett Marques ✓ | 16,411 | 50.0% | |
| Hampton Harris | 7,100 | 21.6% | |
| David Matthews | 5,716 | 17.4% | |
| Joshua McKee | 1,537 | 4.7% | |
| James Richardson | 1,078 | 3.3% | |
| Christian Horn | 961 | 2.9% |
Full calendar and every race: Alabama primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Shomari Figures Nominee Incumbent
DemocratRhett Marques Nominee
RepublicanWon the August 11, 2026 AL-2 special Republican primary. Also ran in the May 19 AL-1 Republican primary (lost).
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D) partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-08-31 | Shomari Figures 47.00% | Rhett Marques 47.00% | ||
| DCCC (D) partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-07-30 | 421 LV | ±4.80 | Shomari Figures 46.00% | Rhett Marques 46.00% |
| Impact Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-06-25 | 400 LV | Shomari Figures 44.00% | Rhett Marques 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 AL-02 House race?
Rhett Marques leads Shomari Figures 46% to 45.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+0.3 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 AL-02 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 AL-02 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Tulchin Research (D) (completed August 31, 2026), found Shomari Figures (D) at 47% and Rhett Marques (R) at 47%.
When is the 2026 AL-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- ALABAMA CHRISTIAN CONSERVATIVES (ACC) GOP-aligned $1,882,277
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $1,500,578
- DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC GOP-aligned $944,908
- READY FOR THE FIGHT Dem-aligned $822,193
- PROJECT 218 Dem-aligned $538,536
- DEFEND US PAC GOP-aligned $350,000
- ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $275,000
- CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. GOP-aligned $255,006
- DEFENDING AMERICA'S FUTURE GOP-aligned $191,685
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $158,499
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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