Pennsylvania District 10

PA-10 • 2026 Election
Back to House Races

Primary

Primary held May 19, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Janelle Stelson 42,397 67.4%
Justin Douglas 20,467 32.6%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Scott Perry 45,900 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Scott Perry
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Likely D our polls experts: Safe R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+12

PollingSource Rating

Likely D
Our polling average D+6.0 · 1 polls
⚑ Our polls diverge from the expert consensus — the story to watch.

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

</> Embed this chart on your site

Free to embed — the chart credits and links back to PollingSource.

Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Scott Perry

Scott Perry Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $5,194,925
Cash on Hand: $2,845,976

Janelle Stelson Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $6,364,069
Cash on Hand: $4,478,639

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
51.0%
Republican
45.0%
Margin
D+6.0
Last Poll
Apr 23, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Normington Petts (D) partisan·D 2026-04-23 400 RV ±4.90 Janelle Stelson 51.00% Scott Perry 45.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 PA-10 House race?

Janelle Stelson leads Scott Perry 51% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+6.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 PA-10 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, meaning Democrats are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible. Note: our polling average (Likely D) diverges from the expert consensus (Safe R) — that gap makes this a race to watch.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-10 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Normington Petts (D) (completed April 23, 2026), found Janelle Stelson (D) at 51% and Scott Perry (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 PA-10 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.