Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Janelle Stelson ✓ | 42,397 | 67.4% | |
| Justin Douglas | 20,467 | 32.6% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Perry ✓ | 45,900 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin & Marshall College | 2026-09-20 | 390 RV | ±5.70 | Janelle Stelson 47.00% | Scott Perry 44.00% |
| Normington Petts (D) partisan·D | 2026-04-23 | 400 RV | ±4.90 | Janelle Stelson 51.00% | Scott Perry 45.00% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 | 2025-11-19 | 549 RV | ±4.10 | Janelle Stelson 48.00% | Scott Perry 44.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 PA-10 House race?
Janelle Stelson leads Scott Perry 48.7% to 44.3% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.4 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 PA-10 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-10 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Franklin & Marshall College (completed September 20, 2026), found Janelle Stelson (D) at 47% and Scott Perry (R) at 44%.
When is the 2026 PA-10 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $2,683,659
- HMP Dem-aligned $2,184,254
- FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND GOP-aligned $1,068,360
- EDF ACTION VOTES Dem-aligned $868,356
- PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE GOP-aligned $560,522
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $539,588
- LCV VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $512,002
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $425,000
- UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA) Dem-aligned $340,498
- CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION GOP-aligned $325,400
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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