Florida District 13 (2026)

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 18, 2026.

Candidate	Votes	%
Leela Gray ✓	32,691	65.0%
Brandt Robinson	13,272	26.4%
John William Liccione	4,325	8.6%

14% reporting

Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent

Anna Paulina Luna

Party

Republican

Current Rating

Lean R our polls

Open Seat

Cook PVI

R+5

PollingSource Rating

Lean R

Our polling average R+5.5 · 2 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Lean R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Anna Paulina Luna Nominee Incumbent

Republican

Total Raised: $3,233,312

Cash on Hand: $1,474,124

FEC Filing

Leela J Gray Nominee

Democrat

Total Raised: $1,223,069

Cash on Hand: $683,295

FEC Filing

Tony C D'Arrigo Nominee

Independent

Total Raised: $28,181

Cash on Hand: $25,681

FEC Filing

General Election Polling Average

Democrat

42.5%

Republican

48.0%

Margin

R+5.5

Last Poll

Aug 6, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster	Date	Sample	MoE	Dem	Rep
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) partisan·R R-sponsored	2026-08-06	400 LV	±4.90	Leela Gray 41.00%	Anna Paulina Luna 49.00%
GQR (D) partisan·D	2026-08-06	500 LV	±4.38	Leela Gray 44.00%	Anna Paulina Luna 47.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 FL-13 House race?

Anna Paulina Luna leads Leela J Gray 48% to 42.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+5.5 margin based on 2 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 FL-13 House race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean R: Republicans are favored, but the race is competitive.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 FL-13 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) (completed August 6, 2026), found Leela Gray (D) at 41% and Anna Paulina Luna (R) at 49%.

When is the 2026 FL-13 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$146,473

Total IE Spending

$146,473

Support

Oppose

Top Spenders

LATINOS FOR CONSERVATIVE VALUES GOP-aligned $128,742
CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC GOP-aligned $17,358
FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND GOP-aligned $373

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.