Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leela Gray ✓ | 32,691 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates D-sponsored | 2026-08-27 | 500 | Leela Gray 51.00% | Anna Paulina Luna 46.00% | |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) partisan·R R-sponsored | 2026-08-06 | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Leela Gray 41.00% | Anna Paulina Luna 49.00% |
| GQR (D) partisan·D | 2026-08-06 | 500 LV | ±4.38 | Leela Gray 44.00% | Anna Paulina Luna 47.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 FL-13 House race?
Leela J Gray leads Anna Paulina Luna 51% to 46% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+5.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 FL-13 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean R, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 FL-13 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Hart Research Associates (completed August 27, 2026), found Leela Gray (D) at 51% and Anna Paulina Luna (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 FL-13 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- GIFFORDS PAC Dem-aligned $857,139
- WIN IT BACK PAC GOP-aligned $526,802
- NRDC ACTION VOTES Dem-aligned $300,000
- EDW ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $299,290
- HMP Dem-aligned $133,339
- LATINOS FOR CONSERVATIVE VALUES GOP-aligned $128,742
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $24,338
- CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC GOP-aligned $20,115
- SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND GOP-aligned $660
- FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND GOP-aligned $373
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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