Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 5, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Ford ✓ | 17,608 | 42.5% | |
| Jackson Franklin | 7,023 | 17.0% | |
| Deborah Pickett | 5,839 | 14.1% | |
| Tara Nelson | 5,573 | 13.5% | |
| Dylan McKenna | 3,098 | 7.5% | |
| Phil Goss | 1,240 | 3.0% | |
| Steven Avit | 1,022 | 2.5% |
Republican Primary
Held May 5, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Spartz ✓ | 33,691 | 59.9% | |
| Scott King | 22,525 | 40.1% |
Full calendar and every race: Indiana primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Victoria Spartz Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-20 | 400 LV | ±4.90 | J.D. Ford 46.00% | Victoria Spartz 48.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 IN-05 House race?
Victoria Spartz leads J.D. Ford 48% to 46% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+2.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 IN-05 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 IN-05 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Impact Research (D) (completed July 20, 2026), found J.D. Ford (D) at 46% and Victoria Spartz (R) at 48%.
When is the 2026 IN-05 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- INVEST IN TOMORROW COALITION PAC Dem-aligned $1,289,916
- COMMONSENSE HOOSIERS PAC Dem-aligned $564,604
- HOOSIER STATE VALUES PAC Dem-aligned $168,369
- THE AFFORDABILITY PROJECT Dem-aligned $24,000
- INDIVISIBLE PROJECT INC. Dem-aligned $1,913
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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