2026 House Elections
All 435 seats up for election
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218 Seats Needed for Majority
Likely Dem (24)
- AZ-04: Stanton (D)
- CA-01: Gallagher (R)
- CA-03: Open (R)
- CA-06: Open (D)
- CA-24: Carbajal (D)
- CA-25: Ruiz (D)
- CO-06: Crow (D)
- CO-07: Pettersen (D)
- CT-05: Hayes (D)
- IL-06: Casten (D)
- IL-11: Foster (D)
- IL-13: Budzinski (D)
- MI-11: Open (D)
- MN-03: Morrison (D)
- NC-01: Davis (D)
- NJ-03: Conaway (D)
- NJ-05: Gottheimer (D)
- NJ-11: Mejia (D)
- NV-03: Lee (D)
- NV-04: Horsford (D)
- OR-06: Salinas (D)
- PA-06: Houlahan (D)
- PA-17: Deluzio (D)
- VA-10: Subramanyam (D)
Leans Dem (18)
- CA-21: Costa (D)
- CA-41: Open (R)
- CA-48: Open (R)
- IL-14: Underwood (D)
- IL-17: Sorensen (D)
- KS-03: Davids (D)
- MI-03: Scholten (D)
- NE-02: Open (R)
- NH-01: Open (D)
- NJ-07: Kean (R)
- NM-02: Vasquez (D)
- NY-03: Suozzi (D)
- NY-18: Ryan (D)
- PA-07: Mackenzie (R)
- PA-10: Perry (R)
- TX-07: Fletcher (D)
- VA-01: Wittman (R)
- WA-08: Schrier (D)
Toss Up (22)
- AZ-01: Open (R)
- AZ-06: Ciscomani (R)
- CA-22: Valadao (R)
- CA-47: Min (D)
- CO-08: Evans (R)
- FL-22: Open
- FL-27: Salazar (R)
- GA-11: Open (R)
- ME-02: Open (D)
- MI-07: Barrett (R)
- MO-02: Wagner (R)
- MT-01: Open (R)
- NE-01: Flood (R)
- NV-02: Open (R)
- NY-17: Lawler (R)
- OH-09: Kaptur (D)
- OH-13: Sykes (D)
- PA-08: Bresnahan (R)
- SC-01: Open (R)
- VA-07: Vindman (D)
- WA-03: Perez (D)
- WI-01: Steil (R)
Leans GOP (20)
- CA-40: Kim (R)
- FL-13: Luna (R)
- FL-25: Moskowitz (D)
- FL-28: Giménez (R)
- LA-06: Fields (D)
- NC-09: Hudson (R)
- NC-14: Moore (R)
- NJ-02: Drew (R)
- NY-01: Open (R)
- NY-02: Garbarino (R)
- NY-11: Malliotakis (R)
- NY-21: Open (R)
- OH-01: Landsman (D)
- TN-09: Open (D)
- TX-15: Cruz (R)
- TX-23: Open (R)
- TX-28: Cuellar (D)
- TX-34: Gonzalez (D)
- VA-02: Kiggans (R)
- VA-05: McGuire (R)
Current House: 215D - 220R
215
220
Democrats
218 for majority
Republicans
Rating-based seat tally after the 2026 elections: 203D – 210R · 22 toss-ups (from current race ratings)
Latest House Polls
| District | Pollster | Date | Sample | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY-17 | McLaughlin & Associates (R) partisan·R | 2026-09-30 | 400 LV | Cait Conley 47.00% | Mike Lawler 50.00% |
| ME-02 | Tulchin Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-09-30 | 500 LV | Matt Dunlap 50.00% | Paul LePage 48.00% |
| NY-17 | Emerson College ±2.7 | 2026-09-29 | 400 LV | Cait Conley 48.00% | Mike Lawler 46.00% |
| VA-05 | Washington Post ±2.2 | 2026-09-29 | 600 LV | Perriello 45.00% | McGuire 51.00% |
| VA-05 | The Washington Post/SSPG | 2026-09-28 | 600 LV | Tom Perriello 45.00% | John McGuire 51.00% |
| VA-01 | The Washington Post/SSPG | 2026-09-28 | 609 LV | Shannon Taylor 50.00% | Rob Wittman 46.00% |
| WA-03 | OPB/DHM Research | 2026-09-27 | 543 LV | Gluesenkamp Perez 47.00% | Braun 48.00% |
| VA-05 | Expedition Strategies (D) partisan·D | 2026-09-24 | 400 LV | Tom Perriello 45.00% | John McGuire 46.00% |
| MT-01 | American Pulse | 2026-09-24 | 314 LV | Sam Forstag 45.00% | Aaron Flint 46.00% |
| MT-01 | Impact Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-09-23 | 500 LV | Sam Forstag 47.00% | Aaron Flint 44.00% |
38 House district poll(s) in the last 30 days. All recent House polls →
Competitive House Races (105 races)
Races rated Toss-up through Likely, including Tilt, by the resolved poll-first rating — polled races first, closest spread on top
Toss-up (22)
| District | Incumbent | Rating | GOP Candidate | DEM Candidate | GOP Avg | DEM Avg | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH-09 | Marcy Kaptur D | Toss-up | Derek Merrin | Marcy Kaptur (i) | 48.0% | 48.0% | Even |
| WI-01 | Bryan Steil R | Toss-up | Bryan Steil (i) | Mitchell Berman | 48.0% | 48.0% | Even |
| NY-17 | Mike Lawler R | Toss-up | Mike Lawler (i) | Cait Conley | 48.0% | 47.5% | R+0.5 |
| FL-27 | María Elvira Salazar R | Toss-up | María Elvira Salazar (i) | Eliott Rodriguez | 47.0% | 46.0% | R+1.0 |
| MO-02 | Ann Wagner R | Toss-up | Ann Wagner (i) | Frederick Wellman | 43.0% | 42.0% | R+1.0 |
| MT-01 | Open R | Toss-up | Aaron Flint | Sam Forstag | 45.0% | 46.0% | D+1.0 |
| NE-01 | Mike Flood R | Toss-up | Mike Flood (i) | Chris Backemeyer | 42.0% | 43.0% | D+1.0 |
| NV-02 | Open R | Toss-up | David Flippo | Teresa Benitez-Thompson | 37.0% | 38.0% | D+1.0 |
| SC-01 | Open R | Toss-up | Jenny Costa Honeycutt | Nancy Lacore | 41.0% | 40.0% | R+1.0 |
| WA-03 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez D | Toss-up | John Braun | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (i) | 48.0% | 47.0% | R+1.0 |
| AZ-06 | Juan Ciscomani R | Toss-up | Juan Ciscomani (i) | JoAnna Mendoza | 45.0% | 47.0% | D+2.0 |
| CO-08 | Gabe Evans R | Toss-up | Gabe Evans (i) | Manny Rutinel | 48.0% | 46.0% | R+2.0 |
| FL-22 | Open | Toss-up | Casey Askar | Pia Dandiya | 44.0% | 46.0% | D+2.0 |
| GA-11 | Open R | Toss-up | John Cowan | Chris Harden | 40.0% | 42.0% | D+2.0 |
| ME-02 | Open D | Toss-up | Paul LePage | Matthew Dunlap | 48.0% | 50.0% | D+2.0 |
| MI-07 | Tom Barrett R | Toss-up | Tom Barrett (i) | William Lawrence | 47.0% | 49.0% | D+2.0 |
| PA-08 | Rob Bresnahan R | Toss-up | Rob Bresnahan (i) | Paige Cognetti | 45.0% | 47.0% | D+2.0 |
| CA-22 | David Valadao R | Toss-up | David Valadao (i) | Randy Villegas | 44.0% | 48.0% | D+4.0 |
| AZ-01 | Open R | Toss-up | Jay Feely | Amish Shah | — | — | — |
| CA-47 | Dave Min D | Toss-up | Jenny Rae Le Roux | Dave Min (i) | — | — | — |
| OH-13 | Emilia Sykes D | Toss-up | Carey Coleman | Emilia Sykes (i) | — | — | — |
| VA-07 | Eugene Vindman D | Toss-up | Douglas Ollivant | Eugene Vindman (i) | — | — | — |
Lean Democrat (18)
| District | Incumbent | Rating | GOP Candidate | DEM Candidate | GOP Avg | DEM Avg | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA-48 | Open R | Lean D | Jim Desmond | Marni von Wilpert | 42.0% | 45.0% | D+3.0 |
| NM-02 | Gabe Vasquez D | Lean D | Greg Cunningham | Gabe Vasquez (i) | 43.0% | 46.0% | D+3.0 |
| PA-10 | Scott Perry R | Lean D | Scott Perry (i) | Janelle Stelson | 44.0% | 47.0% | D+3.0 |
| NE-02 | Open R | Lean D | Brinker Harding | Denise Powell | 42.0% | 46.0% | D+4.0 |
| NH-01 | Open D | Lean D | Anthony Dilorenzo | Stefany Shaheen | 42.0% | 46.0% | D+4.0 |
| VA-01 | Rob Wittman R | Lean D | Rob Wittman (i) | Shannon Taylor | 46.0% | 50.0% | D+4.0 |
| NJ-07 | Thomas Kean Jr. R | Lean D | Thomas Kean Jr. (i) | Rebecca Bennett | 42.0% | 47.0% | D+5.0 |
| PA-07 | Ryan Mackenzie R | Lean D | Ryan Mackenzie (i) | Bob Brooks | 40.0% | 45.0% | D+5.0 |
| NY-18 | Pat Ryan D | Lean D | Jackie Mary Auringer | Pat Ryan (i) | 39.0% | 53.0% | D+14.0 |
| CA-21 | Jim Costa D | Lean D | Kyle Kirkland | Jim Costa (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-41 | Open R | Lean D | Mitch Clemmons | Linda Sánchez | — | — | — |
| IL-14 | Lauren Underwood D | Lean D | James Thomas Marter | Lauren Underwood (i) | — | — | — |
| IL-17 | Eric Sorensen D | Lean D | Dillan Vancil | Eric Sorensen (i) | — | — | — |
| KS-03 | Sharice Davids D | Lean D | Eric Jenkins | Sharice Davids (i) | — | — | — |
| MI-03 | Hillary Scholten D | Lean D | Terri Deboer | Hillary Scholten (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-03 | Tom Suozzi D | Lean D | Mike LiPetri | Tom Suozzi (i) | — | — | — |
| TX-07 | Lizzie Fletcher D | Lean D | Alexander Hale | Lizzie Fletcher (i) | — | — | — |
| WA-08 | Kim Schrier D | Lean D | Spencer Harrison Meline | Kim Schrier (i) | — | — | — |
Lean Republican (20)
| District | Incumbent | Rating | GOP Candidate | DEM Candidate | GOP Avg | DEM Avg | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VA-02 | Jen Kiggans R | Lean R | Jen Kiggans (i) | Elaine Luria | 47.0% | 47.0% | Even |
| TX-23 | Open R | Lean R | Brandon Herrera | Katy Padilla Stout | 42.0% | 40.0% | R+2.0 |
| TX-34 | Vicente Gonzalez D | Lean R | Eric Flores | Vicente Gonzalez (i) | 42.0% | 45.0% | D+3.0 |
| NC-09 | Richard Hudson R | Lean R | Richard Hudson (i) | Richard N. Ojeda | 46.0% | 42.0% | R+4.0 |
| OH-01 | Greg Landsman D | Lean R | Eric Conroy | Greg Landsman (i) | 43.0% | 47.0% | D+4.0 |
| TN-09 | Open D | Lean R | Brent Taylor | Justin Pearson | 48.0% | 44.0% | R+4.0 |
| VA-05 | John McGuire R | Lean R | John McGuire | Thomas Perriello | 49.3% | 45.0% | R+4.3 |
| FL-13 | Anna Paulina Luna R | Lean R | Anna Paulina Luna (i) | Leela J Gray | 46.0% | 51.0% | D+5.0 |
| NY-21 | Open R | Lean R | Anthony Thomas Constantino | Blake Gendebien | 48.0% | 43.0% | R+5.0 |
| TX-15 | Monica De La Cruz R | Lean R | Monica De La Cruz (i) | Bobby Pulido | 45.0% | 50.0% | D+5.0 |
| NC-14 | Tim Moore R | Lean R | Tim Moore (i) | LaKesha Womack | 48.0% | 40.0% | R+8.0 |
| FL-25 | Jared Moskowitz D | Lean R | Scott M. Singer | Jared Moskowitz (i) | 33.0% | 43.0% | D+10.0 |
| TX-28 | Henry Cuellar D | Lean R | Tano Tijerina | Henry Cuellar (i) | 34.0% | 45.0% | D+11.0 |
| CA-40 | Young Kim R | Lean R | Ken Calvert (i) / Young Kim (i) | — | — | — | — |
| FL-28 | Carlos Giménez R | Lean R | Carlos Gimenez | — | — | — | |
| LA-06 | Cleo Fields D | Lean R | Cleo Fields (i) | — | — | — | |
| NJ-02 | Jeff Van Drew R | Lean R | Jeff Van Drew (i) | Zack Mullock | — | — | — |
| NY-01 | Open R | Lean R | Lalota Nick | Chris Gallant | — | — | — |
| NY-02 | Andrew Garbarino R | Lean R | Andrew Garbarino (i) | — | — | — | |
| NY-11 | Nicole Malliotakis R | Lean R | Nicole Malliotakis (i) | Michael DeCillis | — | — | — |
Likely Democrat (24)
| District | Incumbent | Rating | GOP Candidate | DEM Candidate | GOP Avg | DEM Avg | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC-01 | Don Davis D | Likely D | Laurie Buckhout | Don Davis (i) | 43.0% | 50.0% | D+7.0 |
| AZ-04 | Greg Stanton D | Likely D | Zuhdi Jasser | Greg Stanton (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-01 | James Gallagher R | Likely D | James Gallagher | Mike McGuire | — | — | — |
| CA-03 | Open R | Likely D | Robb Tucker | Ami Bera | — | — | — |
| CA-06 | Open D | Likely D | Kevin Kiley (O) | Richard Pan | — | — | — |
| CA-24 | Salud Carbajal D | Likely D | Bob Smith | Salud Carbajal (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-25 | Raul Ruiz D | Likely D | Joe Males | Raul Ruiz (i) | — | — | — |
| CO-06 | Jason Crow D | Likely D | Bemelekot W Tewahade | Jason Crow (i) | — | — | — |
| CO-07 | Brittany Pettersen D | Likely D | Tim Bennett | Brittany Pettersen (i) | — | — | — |
| CT-05 | Jahana Hayes D | Likely D | Chris Shea | Jahana Hayes (i) | — | — | — |
| IL-06 | Sean Casten D | Likely D | Niki Conforti | Sean Casten (i) | — | — | — |
| IL-11 | Bill Foster D | Likely D | Jeff Walter | Bill Foster (i) | — | — | — |
| IL-13 | Nikki Budzinski D | Likely D | Jeff Wilson | Nikki Budzinski (i) | — | — | — |
| MI-11 | Open D | Likely D | (No Nominee) | Jeremy Moss | — | — | — |
| MN-03 | Kelly Morrison D | Likely D | Tyler Bass | Kelly Morrison (i) | — | — | — |
| NJ-03 | Herb Conaway D | Likely D | Michael McGuire | Herb Conaway (i) | — | — | — |
| NJ-05 | Josh Gottheimer D | Likely D | Sean Joseph Kirrane | Josh Gottheimer (i) | — | — | — |
| NJ-11 | Analilia Mejia D | Likely D | Joe Hathaway | Analilia Mejia (i) | — | — | — |
| NV-03 | Susie Lee D | Likely D | Martin O'Donnell | Susie Lee (i) | — | — | — |
| NV-04 | Steven Horsford D | Likely D | Cody K Whipple | Steven Horsford (i) | — | — | — |
| OR-06 | Andrea Salinas D | Likely D | David Honorable Russ | Andrea Salinas (i) | — | — | — |
| PA-06 | Chrissy Houlahan D | Likely D | Marty Young | Chrissy Houlahan (i) | — | — | — |
| PA-17 | Chris Deluzio D | Likely D | Tony Guy | Chris Deluzio (i) | — | — | — |
| VA-10 | Suhas Subramanyam D | Likely D | David Beckwith | Suhas Subramanyam (i) | — | — | — |
Likely Republican (15)
| District | Incumbent | Rating | GOP Candidate | DEM Candidate | GOP Avg | DEM Avg | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FL-09 | Darren Soto D | Likely R | Dan Green | Darren Soto (i) | 41.0% | 41.0% | Even |
| IA-02 | Open R | Likely R | Joe Mitchell | Lindsay James | 45.0% | 46.0% | D+1.0 |
| TX-35 | Open D | Likely R | Carlos De La Cruz Jr | Johnny Garcia | 45.0% | 44.0% | R+1.0 |
| NC-03 | Greg Murphy R | Likely R | Greg Murphy (i) | Raymond Smith Jr. | 44.0% | 41.0% | R+3.0 |
| WI-03 | Derrick Van Orden R | Likely R | Derrick Van Orden (i) | Rebecca Cooke | 46.0% | 50.0% | D+4.0 |
| IA-01 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks R | Likely R | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (i) | Christina Bohannan | 35.0% | 40.0% | D+5.0 |
| IA-03 | Zach Nunn R | Likely R | Zach Nunn (i) | Sarah Trone Garriott | 48.0% | 42.0% | R+6.0 |
| TX-10 | Open R | Likely R | Chris Gober | Caitlin McClay Rourk | 48.0% | 41.0% | R+7.0 |
| FL-14 | Kathy Castor D | Likely R | Mike Beltran | Kathy Castor (i) | 38.0% | 46.0% | D+8.0 |
| PA-01 | Brian Fitzpatrick R | Likely R | Brian Fitzpatrick (i) | Bob Harvie | 49.0% | 40.0% | R+9.0 |
| UT-04 | Open R | Likely R | Mike Kennedy (i) | Jonny Larsen | 42.0% | 33.0% | R+9.0 |
| MN-01 | Brad Finstad R | Likely R | Brad Finstad (i) | Jacob Johnson | 52.0% | 42.0% | R+10.0 |
| AL-02 | Shomari Figures D | Likely R | Rhett Marques | Shomari Figures (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-04 | Laura Gillen D | Likely R | Jeanine Driscoll | Laura Gillen | — | — | — |
| TX-09 | Open D | Likely R | Alex Mealer | Leticia Gutierrez | — | — | — |
Tilt Democrat (5)
| District | Incumbent | Rating | GOP Candidate | DEM Candidate | GOP Avg | DEM Avg | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA-13 | Adam Gray D | Tilt D | Kevin J Lincoln II | Adam Gray (i) | — | — | — |
| MI-08 | Kristen McDonald Rivet D | Tilt D | Thomas J. Smith | Kristen McDonald Rivet (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-19 | Josh Riley D | Tilt D | Peter Karl Oberacker Jr | Josh Riley (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-22 | John Mannion D | Tilt D | John Mannion (i) | — | — | — | |
| OR-05 | Janelle Bynum D | Tilt D | Patti Adair | Janelle Bynum (i) | — | — | — |
Tilt Republican (1)
| District | Incumbent | Rating | GOP Candidate | DEM Candidate | GOP Avg | DEM Avg | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA-45 | Derek Tran D | Tilt R | Chuong V. Vo | Derek Tran (i) | — | — | — |
Safe House seats
The rest of the 435, grouped by the same poll-first rating as the bar
Safe Democrat (156)
| District | Incumbent | Rating | GOP Candidate | DEM Candidate | GOP Avg | DEM Avg | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL-07 | Terri Sewell D | Safe D | Ammie Akin | Terri Sewell (i) | — | — | — |
| AZ-03 | Yassamin Ansari D | Safe D | Nicholas Glenn | Yassamin Ansari (i) | — | — | — |
| AZ-07 | Adelita Grijalva D | Safe D | Daniel Butierez | Adelita Grijalva (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-02 | Jared Huffman D | Safe D | Robin Littau | Jared Huffman (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-04 | Mike Thompson D | Safe D | — | Eric Jones / Mike Thompson (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-07 | Doris Matsui D | Safe D | — | Doris Matsui (i) / Mai Vang | — | — | — |
| CA-08 | John Garamendi D | Safe D | Rudy Recile | John Garamendi (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-09 | Josh Harder D | Safe D | John McBride | Josh Harder (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-10 | Mark DeSaulnier D | Safe D | Jeff Frese | Mark DeSaulnier (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-11 | Open D | Safe D | — | Connie Chan / Scott Wiener | — | — | — |
| CA-12 | Lateefah Simon D | Safe D | — | Jamie Joyce / Lateefah Simon (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-14 | Aisha Wahab D | Safe D | — | Aisha Wahab / Melissa Hernandez | — | — | — |
| CA-15 | Kevin Mullin D | Safe D | Charles Hoelter | Kevin Mullin (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-16 | Sam Liccardo D | Safe D | Peter Sundin Soulé | Sam Liccardo (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-17 | Ro Khanna D | Safe D | Ritesh Tandon | Ro Khanna (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-18 | Zoe Lofgren D | Safe D | Shane Lewis | Zoe Lofgren (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-19 | Jimmy Panetta D | Safe D | Peter Coe Verbica | Jimmy Panetta (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-26 | Open D | Safe D | Sam Gallucci | Jacqui Irwin V | — | — | — |
| CA-27 | George Whitesides D | Safe D | Jason Gibbs | George Whitesides (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-28 | Judy Chu D | Safe D | April Verlato | Judy Chu (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-29 | Luz Rivas D | Safe D | — | Angélica María Dueñas / Luz Maria Rivas (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-30 | Laura Friedman D | Safe D | Scott Alan Meyers | Laura Friedman (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-31 | Gil Cisneros D | Safe D | Eric J Ching | Gil Cisneros | — | — | — |
| CA-32 | Brad Sherman D | Safe D | Larry Thompson | Brad Sherman (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-33 | Pete Aguilar D | Safe D | Stephanie M. Vargas | Pete Aguilar (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-34 | Jimmy Gomez D | Safe D | — | Angela Gonzales-Torres / Jimmy Gomez (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-35 | Norma Torres D | Safe D | Mike Cargile | Norma J. Torres (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-36 | Ted Lieu D | Safe D | Houston Brignano | Ted W. Lieu (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-37 | Sydney Kamlager-Dove D | Safe D | — | Samantha Mota / Sydney Kamlager-Dove (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-38 | Open D | Safe D | Pedro Antonio Casas | Hilda Solis | — | — | — |
| CA-39 | Mark Takano D | Safe D | Steve Manos | Mark Takano (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-42 | Robert Garcia D | Safe D | Brian J Burley | Robert Garcia (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-43 | Maxine Waters D | Safe D | Cristian Morales | Maxine Waters (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-44 | Nanette Barragán D | Safe D | Genevieve Angel | Nanette Barragán (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-46 | Lou Correa D | Safe D | David Pan | Lou Correa (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-49 | Mike Levin D | Safe D | Armen Kurdian | Mike Levin (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-50 | Scott Peters D | Safe D | Steve Cohen | Scott Peters (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-51 | Sara Jacobs D | Safe D | Ricardo Cabrera | Sara Jacobs (i) | — | — | — |
| CA-52 | Juan Vargas D | Safe D | Jeff Belle | Juan Vargas (i) | — | — | — |
| CO-01 | Open D | Safe D | Christy Peterson | Melat Kiros | — | — | — |
| CO-02 | Joe Neguse D | Safe D | Kelley Dennison | Joe Neguse (i) | — | — | — |
| CT-01 | Open D | Safe D | Amy Fogelstrom Chai | Luke Bronin | — | — | — |
| CT-02 | Joe Courtney D | Safe D | — | — | — | ||
| CT-03 | Rosa DeLauro D | Safe D | Christopher John Lancia | — | — | — | |
| CT-04 | Jim Himes D | Safe D | Michael Goldstein | Jim Himes (i) | — | — | — |
| DE-AL | Sarah McBride D | Safe D | Joseph Joe Arminio | Sarah McBride (i) | — | — | — |
| FL-10 | Maxwell Frost D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Maxwell Frost (i) | — | — | — |
| FL-20 | Debbie Wasserman Schultz D | Safe D | Brent Andersen | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (i) | — | — | — |
| FL-23 | Lois Frankel D | Safe D | Deborah Adeimy | Lois Frankel (i) | — | — | — |
| FL-24 | Open D | Safe D | Te Brown | Oliver G. Gilbert III | — | — | — |
| GA-02 | Sanford Bishop D | Safe D | Matt Day | Sanford Bishop (i) | — | — | — |
| GA-04 | Hank Johnson D | Safe D | James Duffie | Hank Johnson (i) | — | — | — |
| GA-05 | Nikema Williams D | Safe D | John Salvesen | Nikema Williams (i) | — | — | — |
| GA-06 | Lucy McBath D | Safe D | Kevin Eugene Martin | Lucy McBath (i) | — | — | — |
| GA-13 | Open D | Safe D | Jonathan Chavez | Jasmine Clark | — | — | — |
| HI-01 | Ed Case D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Ed Case (i) | — | — | — |
| HI-02 | Jill Tokuda D | Safe D | Brenton Awa | Jill Tokuda (i) | — | — | — |
| IL-01 | Jonathan Jackson D | Safe D | Christian Maxwell | Jonathan Jackson (i) | — | — | — |
| IL-02 | Open D | Safe D | Michael Noack | Donna Miller | — | — | — |
| IL-03 | Delia Ramirez D | Safe D | Angel Oakley | Delia Ramirez (i) | — | — | — |
| IL-04 | Chuy García D | Safe D | Lupe Castillo | Patty Garcia | 15.0% | 34.0% | D+19.0 |
| IL-05 | Mike Quigley D | Safe D | Tommy Hanson | Mike Quigley (i) | — | — | — |
| IL-07 | Open D | Safe D | Chad Koppie | La Shawn Ford | — | — | — |
| IL-08 | Open D | Safe D | Jennifer Davis | Melissa Luburich Bean | — | — | — |
| IL-09 | Open D | Safe D | John Elleson | Daniel Biss | — | — | — |
| IL-10 | Brad Schneider D | Safe D | Carl Lambrecht | Brad Schneider (i) | — | — | — |
| IN-01 | Frank J. Mrvan D | Safe D | Barb Regnitz | Frank J. Mrvan (i) | — | — | — |
| IN-07 | André Carson D | Safe D | Patrick McAuley | André Carson (i) | — | — | — |
| KY-03 | Morgan McGarvey D | Safe D | Maria Teresa Rodriguez | Morgan McGarvey (i) | — | — | — |
| LA-02 | Troy Carter D | Safe D | Troy Carter (i) | — | — | — | |
| MA-01 | Richard Neal D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Richard Neal (i) | — | — | — |
| MA-02 | Jim McGovern D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | James McGovern (i) | — | — | — |
| MA-03 | Lori Trahan D | Safe D | Gary J. Grossi | Lori Trahan (i) | — | — | — |
| MA-04 | Jake Auchincloss D | Safe D | Thomas Stalcup | Jake Auchincloss | — | — | — |
| MA-05 | Katherine Clark D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Katherine Clark (i) | — | — | — |
| MA-06 | Open D | Safe D | Micah Q. Jones | Dan Koh | — | — | — |
| MA-07 | Ayanna Pressley D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Ayanna Pressley (i) | — | — | — |
| MA-08 | Stephen Lynch D | Safe D | Robert Gerald Burke | Stephen Lynch (i) | — | — | — |
| MA-09 | Bill Keating D | Safe D | Robert Tyler Macallister | Bill Keating (i) | — | — | — |
| MD-02 | Johnny Olszewski D | Safe D | Dave Wallace | Johnny Olszewski (i) | — | — | — |
| MD-03 | Sarah Elfreth D | Safe D | Berney Flowers | Sarah Elfreth (i) | — | — | — |
| MD-04 | Glenn Ivey D | Safe D | George McDermott | Glenn Ivey | — | — | — |
| MD-05 | Open D | Safe D | Chris Chaffee | Adrian Boafo | — | — | — |
| MD-06 | April McClain Delaney D | Safe D | Robin Ficker | April McClain Delaney (i) | — | — | — |
| MD-07 | Kweisi Mfume D | Safe D | Scott Collier | Kweisi Mfume (i) | — | — | — |
| MD-08 | Jamie Raskin D | Safe D | Cheryl Riley | Jamie Raskin (i) | — | — | — |
| ME-01 | Chellie Pingree D | Safe D | Ronald Charles Russell | Chellie Pingree (i) | 35.0% | 57.0% | D+22.0 |
| MI-06 | Debbie Dingell D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Debbie Dingell (i) | — | — | — |
| MI-12 | Rashida Tlaib D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Rashida Tlaib (i) | — | — | — |
| MI-13 | Shri Thanedar D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Donavan McKinney | — | — | — |
| MN-02 | Open D | Safe D | Eric Pratt | Matt Little | 40.0% | 52.0% | D+12.0 |
| MN-04 | Betty McCollum D | Safe D | Paul Wikstrom | Betty McCollum (i) | — | — | — |
| MN-05 | Ilhan Omar D | Safe D | John Nagel | Ilhan Omar (i) | — | — | — |
| MO-01 | Wesley Bell D | Safe D | Paul Berry III | Wesley Bell (i) | — | — | — |
| MS-02 | Bennie Thompson D | Safe D | Ron Eller | Bennie Thompson (i) | — | — | — |
| NC-02 | Deborah Ross D | Safe D | Eugene Douglass | Deborah Ross (i) | — | — | — |
| NC-04 | Valerie Foushee D | Safe D | Max Ganorkar | Valerie Foushee (i) | — | — | — |
| NC-12 | Alma Adams D | Safe D | Jack Codiga | Alma Adams (i) | — | — | — |
| NH-02 | Maggie Goodlander D | Safe D | Lily Tang Williams | Maggie Goodlander (i) | 35.0% | 56.0% | D+21.0 |
| NJ-01 | Donald Norcross D | Safe D | Damon Galdo | Donald Norcross (i) | — | — | — |
| NJ-06 | Frank Pallone D | Safe D | Hillary Herzig | Frank Pallone (i) | — | — | — |
| NJ-08 | Rob Menendez D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Rob Menendez (i) | — | — | — |
| NJ-09 | Nellie Pou D | Safe D | Rosie Pino | Nellie Pou (i) | — | — | — |
| NJ-10 | LaMonica McIver D | Safe D | Carmen Bucco | LaMonica McIver (i) | — | — | — |
| NJ-12 | Open D | Safe D | Gregg Mele | Adam Hamawy | — | — | — |
| NM-01 | Melanie Stansbury D | Safe D | Didi Okpareke | Melanie Stansbury (i) | — | — | — |
| NM-03 | Teresa Leger Fernandez D | Safe D | Martin R Zamora | Teresa Leger Fernández | — | — | — |
| NV-01 | Dina Titus D | Safe D | Carrie Buck | Dina Titus (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-05 | Gregory Meeks D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Gregory Meeks (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-06 | Grace Meng D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Grace Meng (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-07 | Open D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Claire Valdez | — | — | — |
| NY-08 | Hakeem Jeffries D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | — | — | — | |
| NY-09 | Yvette Clarke D | Safe D | Jean Fritzner Depalis | Yvette Clarke (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-10 | Dan Goldman D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Brad Lander | — | — | — |
| NY-12 | Open D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Micah Charles Lasher | — | — | — |
| NY-13 | Adriano Espaillat D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Darializa Avila Chevalier | — | — | — |
| NY-14 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-15 | Ritchie Torres D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Ritchie Torres (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-16 | George Latimer D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | George Latimer (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-20 | Paul Tonko D | Safe D | Ralph Ambrosio | Paul Tonko (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-25 | Joseph Morelle D | Safe D | Virginia McIntyre | Joseph Morelle (i) | — | — | — |
| NY-26 | Tim Kennedy D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Tim Kennedy (i) | — | — | — |
| OH-03 | Joyce Beatty D | Safe D | Cleophus Dulaney | Joyce Beatty (i) | — | — | — |
| OH-11 | Shontel Brown D | Safe D | Mike Kirchner | Shontel Brown (i) | — | — | — |
| OR-01 | Suzanne Bonamici D | Safe D | Barbara J Kahl | Suzanne Bonamici (i) | — | — | — |
| OR-03 | Maxine Dexter D | Safe D | Loran Ayles | Maxine Dexter (i) | — | — | — |
| OR-04 | Val Hoyle D | Safe D | Monique DeSpain | Val Hoyle (i) | — | — | — |
| PA-02 | Brendan Boyle D | Safe D | Jessica Arriaga | Brendan Boyle (i) | — | — | — |
| PA-03 | Open D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Chris Rabb | — | — | — |
| PA-04 | Madeleine Dean D | Safe D | Aurora Stuski | Madeleine Dean (i) | — | — | — |
| PA-05 | Mary Gay Scanlon D | Safe D | Nicholas Waln Morris Manganaro | Mary Gay Scanlon (i) | — | — | — |
| PA-12 | Summer Lee D | Safe D | James Hayes | Summer Lee (i) | — | — | — |
| RI-01 | Gabe Amo D | Safe D | Kellie Eleanor Keenan | Gabe Amo (i) | — | — | — |
| RI-02 | Seth Magaziner D | Safe D | Victor Gilbert Mellor | Seth Magaziner (i) | — | — | — |
| SC-06 | Jim Clyburn D | Safe D | John Peterson | Jim Clyburn (i) | — | — | — |
| TX-16 | Veronica Escobar D | Safe D | Adam Bauman | Veronica Escobar (i) | — | — | — |
| TX-18 | Christian Menefee D | Safe D | Ronald Whitfield | Christian D. Menefee (i) | — | — | — |
| TX-20 | Joaquin Castro D | Safe D | Edgardo Rafael Baez | Joaquin Castro (i) | — | — | — |
| TX-29 | Sylvia Garcia D | Safe D | Martha Fierro | Sylvia Garcia (i) | — | — | — |
| TX-30 | Open D | Safe D | Everett Honorable Jackson | Frederick Haynes III | — | — | — |
| TX-33 | Open D | Safe D | Patrick David Gillespie | Colin Allred | — | — | — |
| TX-37 | Open D | Safe D | Lauren Peña | Greg Casar | — | — | — |
| UT-01 | Open | Safe D | Riley Montgomery Owen | Ben McAdams | 21.0% | 63.0% | D+42.0 |
| VA-03 | Bobby Scott D | Safe D | Edwin Rivera Jr | Bobby Scott (i) | — | — | — |
| VA-04 | Jennifer McClellan D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Jennifer McClellan (i) | — | — | — |
| VA-08 | Don Beyer D | Safe D | Tony Sabio | Donald Beyer (i) | — | — | — |
| VA-11 | James Walkinshaw D | Safe D | Arthur Grahame Purves | — | — | — | |
| VT-AL | Becca Balint D | Safe D | Gerald Malloy | Becca Balint (i) | 29.0% | 54.5% | D+25.5 |
| WA-01 | Suzan DelBene D | Safe D | Mary Silva | Suzan DelBene (i) | — | — | — |
| WA-02 | Rick Larsen D | Safe D | Edwin H. Feller | Rick Larsen (i) | — | — | — |
| WA-06 | Emily Randall D | Safe D | Teresa Fox | Emily Randall (i) | — | — | — |
| WA-07 | Pramila Jayapal D | Safe D | Nirav Sheth | Pramila Jayapal (i) | — | — | — |
| WA-09 | Adam Smith D | Safe D | Douglas Basler | D. Smith (i) | — | — | — |
| WA-10 | Marilyn Strickland D | Safe D | Chris D. Chung | Marilyn Strickland (i) | — | — | — |
| WI-02 | Mark Pocan D | Safe D | (No Nominee) | Mark Pocan (i) | — | — | — |
| WI-04 | Gwen Moore D | Safe D | Tim Rogers | Gwen Moore (i) | — | — | — |
Safe Republican (174)
| District | Incumbent | Rating | GOP Candidate | DEM Candidate | GOP Avg | DEM Avg | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-AL | Nick Begich III R | Safe R | Nick Begich III (i) | Matthew Damian Schultz | 46.0% | 32.0% | R+14.0 |
| AL-01 | Open R | Safe R | Jerry Lee, Carl Jr | Clyde W Jones Jr | — | — | — |
| AL-03 | Mike Rogers R | Safe R | Mike Rogers (i) | Victor McInnis | — | — | — |
| AL-04 | Robert Aderholt R | Safe R | Robert Aderholt (i) | Amanda N. Pusczek | — | — | — |
| AL-05 | Dale Strong R | Safe R | Dale Strong (i) | Andrew Rankin Guyton Sneed | — | — | — |
| AL-06 | Gary Palmer R | Safe R | Gary Palmer (i) | Maurice Mercer | — | — | — |
| AR-01 | Rick Crawford R | Safe R | Rick Crawford (i) | Terri Yarbrough Green | — | — | — |
| AR-02 | French Hill R | Safe R | French Hill (i) | Chris Jones | 44.0% | 48.0% | D+4.0 |
| AR-03 | Steve Womack R | Safe R | Steve Womack (i) | Robb Ryerse | — | — | — |
| AR-04 | Bruce Westerman R | Safe R | Bruce Westerman (i) | James Richard Russell III | — | — | — |
| AZ-02 | Eli Crane R | Safe R | Eli Crane (i) | Jonathan Michael Nez | 46.0% | 44.0% | R+2.0 |
| AZ-05 | Open R | Safe R | Mark Lamb | Elizabeth Lee | — | — | — |
| AZ-08 | Abraham Hamadeh R | Safe R | Abraham Hamadeh (i) | Bernadette Greene-Placentia | — | — | — |
| AZ-09 | Paul Gosar R | Safe R | Paul Gosar (i) | Danielle Sterbinsky | — | — | — |
| CA-05 | Tom McClintock R | Safe R | Tom McClintock (i) | Michael Masuda | — | — | — |
| CA-20 | Vince Fong R | Safe R | Vince Fong (i) | Sandra Van Scotter | — | — | — |
| CA-23 | Jay Obernolte R | Safe R | Jay Obernolte (i) | Tessa Lynn Hodge | — | — | — |
| CO-03 | Jeff Hurd R | Safe R | Jeff Hurd (i) | Dwayne Romero | — | — | — |
| CO-04 | Lauren Boebert R | Safe R | Lauren Boebert (i) | Eileen Laubacher | — | — | — |
| CO-05 | Jeff Crank R | Safe R | Jeff Crank (i) | Jessica Willow Killin | 45.0% | 44.0% | R+1.0 |
| FL-01 | Jimmy Patronis R | Safe R | Jimmy Patronis | Jennifer Gay Valimont | — | — | — |
| FL-02 | Open R | Safe R | Austin Rogers | Amanda Marie Green | — | — | — |
| FL-03 | Kat Cammack R | Safe R | Kat Cammack (i) | Seth Allan Harp | — | — | — |
| FL-04 | Aaron Bean R | Safe R | Aaron Bean (i) | Lashonda J Holloway | — | — | — |
| FL-05 | John Rutherford R | Safe R | John Rutherford (i) | Rachel Grage | — | — | — |
| FL-06 | Randy Fine R | Safe R | Randy Fine | Eric Yonce | — | — | — |
| FL-07 | Open R | Safe R | Ryan Elijah | Bale Dalton | — | — | — |
| FL-08 | Mike Haridopolos R | Safe R | Mike Haridopolos (i) | Colby Shock | — | — | — |
| FL-11 | Daniel Webster R | Safe R | Joe Strada | James Pericola | — | — | — |
| FL-12 | Gus Bilirakis R | Safe R | (No Nominee) | Kimberly Overman | — | — | — |
| FL-15 | Laurel Lee R | Safe R | Laurel Lee (i) | Kimberly Overman | — | — | — |
| FL-16 | Open R | Safe R | Sydney Gruters | Kelly Kirschner | 39.0% | 40.0% | D+1.0 |
| FL-17 | Greg Steube R | Safe R | Greg Steube (i) | Matthew Montavon | — | — | — |
| FL-18 | Scott Franklin R | Safe R | Scott Franklin (i) | Curtis Gibson | — | — | — |
| FL-19 | Open R | Safe R | Jim Schwartzel | Victor M. Arias | — | — | — |
| FL-21 | Brian Mast R | Safe R | Brian Mast (i) | James Martin | — | — | — |
| FL-26 | Mario Díaz-Balart R | Safe R | Mario Díaz-Balart (i) | — | — | — | |
| GA-01 | Open R | Safe R | Jim Kingston | Amanda Hollowell | — | — | — |
| GA-03 | Brian Jack R | Safe R | Brian Jack (i) | Maura Keller | — | — | — |
| GA-07 | Rich McCormick R | Safe R | Rich McCormick (i) | Anthony Lawrence Kozycki | 46.0% | 43.0% | R+3.0 |
| GA-08 | Austin Scott R | Safe R | Austin Scott (i) | Kelly Esti | — | — | — |
| GA-09 | Andrew Clyde R | Safe R | Andrew Clyde (i) | Caitlyn Gegen | — | — | — |
| GA-10 | Open R | Safe R | Houston Gaines | Pamela DeLancy | — | — | — |
| GA-12 | Rick Allen R | Safe R | Rick Allen (i) | Ceretta Smith | — | — | — |
| GA-14 | Clay Fuller R | Safe R | Clay Fuller (i) | Shawn Harris | — | — | — |
| IA-04 | Open R | Safe R | Chris McGowan | David Dawson | — | — | — |
| ID-01 | Russ Fulcher R | Safe R | Russ Fulcher (i) | Kaylee Jade Peterson | 48.0% | 27.0% | R+21.0 |
| ID-02 | Mike Simpson R | Safe R | Mike Simpson (i) | Elinor Gilbreath | — | — | — |
| IL-12 | Mike Bost R | Safe R | Mike Bost (i) | Julie Fortier | — | — | — |
| IL-15 | Mary Miller R | Safe R | Mary Miller (i) | Jennifer Ann Todd | — | — | — |
| IL-16 | Darin LaHood R | Safe R | Darin LaHood (i) | Paul Nolley | — | — | — |
| IN-02 | Rudy Yakym R | Safe R | Rudy Yakym (i) | Jamee Decio | — | — | — |
| IN-03 | Marlin Stutzman R | Safe R | Marlin Stutzman | Kelly Elizabeth Thompson | — | — | — |
| IN-04 | Jim Baird R | Safe R | Jim Baird (i) | Drew Cox | — | — | — |
| IN-05 | Victoria Spartz R | Safe R | Victoria Spartz (i) | J.D. Ford | 48.0% | 46.0% | R+2.0 |
| IN-06 | Jefferson Shreve R | Safe R | Jefferson Shreve (i) | Cinde Wirth | — | — | — |
| IN-08 | Mark Messmer R | Safe R | Mark Messmer (i) | Mary Theresa Allen | — | — | — |
| IN-09 | Erin Houchin R | Safe R | Erin Houchin (i) | Brad Meyer | — | — | — |
| KS-01 | Tracey Mann R | Safe R | Tracey Mann (i) | Lauren Reinhold | — | — | — |
| KS-02 | Derek Schmidt R | Safe R | Derek Schmidt (i) | Don Coover | — | — | — |
| KS-04 | Ron Estes R | Safe R | Ron Estes (i) | Katy Tyndell | — | — | — |
| KY-01 | James Comer R | Safe R | James R. Comer (i) | John Andrew Williams | — | — | — |
| KY-02 | Brett Guthrie R | Safe R | S. Brett Guthrie (i) | Megan Wingfield | — | — | — |
| KY-04 | Open R | Safe R | Ed Gallrein | Melissa Claire Strange | — | — | — |
| KY-05 | Hal Rogers R | Safe R | Hal Rogers (i) | Ned Pillersdorf | — | — | — |
| KY-06 | Open R | Safe R | Ralph A Alvarado | Zach Dembo | 44.0% | 45.0% | D+1.0 |
| LA-01 | Steve Scalise R | Safe R | Steve Scalise (i) | Lauren Jewett | — | — | — |
| LA-03 | Clay Higgins R | Safe R | Clay Higgins (i) | John David Day | — | — | — |
| LA-04 | Mike Johnson R | Safe R | — | — | — | ||
| LA-05 | Open R | Safe R | — | — | — | ||
| MD-01 | Andy Harris R | Safe R | Andy Harris (i) | Dan Schwartz | 52.0% | 39.0% | R+13.0 |
| MI-01 | Jack Bergman R | Safe R | John Bergman (i) | Callie Barr | — | — | — |
| MI-02 | John Moolenaar R | Safe R | John Moolenaar (i) | Benjamin Ambrose | — | — | — |
| MI-04 | Bill Huizenga R | Safe R | William Huizenga (i) | Sean McCann | 45.0% | 48.0% | D+3.0 |
| MI-05 | Tim Walberg R | Safe R | Tim Walberg (i) | Christian A Vukasovich | — | — | — |
| MI-09 | Lisa McClain R | Safe R | Steven Raymond Pooley | — | — | — | |
| MI-10 | Open R | Safe R | Michael Bouchard | Christina Hines | 45.0% | 45.0% | Even |
| MN-06 | Tom Emmer R | Safe R | Tom Emmer (i) | Doug Chapin | — | — | — |
| MN-07 | Michelle Fischbach R | Safe R | (No Nominee) | Erik Osberg | — | — | — |
| MN-08 | Pete Stauber R | Safe R | Pete Stauber (i) | Trina Swanson | — | — | — |
| MO-03 | Bob Onder R | Safe R | Robert Onder Jr | Bethany Mann | — | — | — |
| MO-04 | Mark Alford R | Safe R | Mark Alford (i) | Jordan Herrera | — | — | — |
| MO-05 | Emanuel Cleaver D | Safe R | Richard Brattin | Emanuel Cleaver (i) | — | — | — |
| MO-06 | Open R | Safe R | Chris Stigall | Josh Smead | — | — | — |
| MO-07 | Eric Burlison R | Safe R | Eric Burlison (i) | Missi Hesketh | — | — | — |
| MO-08 | Jason Smith R | Safe R | Jason Smith (i) | Christopher Reichard | — | — | — |
| MS-01 | Trent Kelly R | Safe R | Trent Kelly (i) | Cliff Johnson | — | — | — |
| MS-03 | Michael Guest R | Safe R | Michael Guest (i) | Michael Alexis Chiaradio | — | — | — |
| MS-04 | Mike Ezell R | Safe R | Mike Ezell (i) | Jeffrey Hulum III | — | — | — |
| MT-02 | Troy Downing R | Safe R | Troy Downing (i) | Brian James Miller | 48.0% | 26.0% | R+22.0 |
| NC-05 | Virginia Foxx R | Safe R | Virginia Foxx (i) | Chuck Hubbard | — | — | — |
| NC-06 | Addison McDowell R | Safe R | Addison McDowell (i) | Cyril Jefferson | — | — | — |
| NC-07 | David Rouzer R | Safe R | David Rouzer (i) | Kimberly Hardy | 45.0% | 39.0% | R+6.0 |
| NC-08 | Mark Harris R | Safe R | Mark Harris (i) | Colby Watson | — | — | — |
| NC-10 | Pat Harrigan R | Safe R | Pat Harrigan (i) | Ashley Bell | 52.0% | 37.0% | R+15.0 |
| NC-11 | Chuck Edwards R | Safe R | Chuck Edwards (i) | Jamie Ager | 44.0% | 45.0% | D+1.0 |
| NC-13 | Brad Knott R | Safe R | Brad Knott (i) | Paul Barringer | — | — | — |
| ND-AL | Julie Fedorchak R | Safe R | Julie Fedorchak (i) | Trygve Hammer | — | — | — |
| NE-03 | Adrian Smith R | Safe R | Adrian Smith (i) | Becky Lynn Stille | — | — | — |
| NJ-04 | Chris Smith R | Safe R | Chris Smith (i) | Rachel Peace | — | — | — |
| NY-23 | Nick Langworthy R | Safe R | (No Nominee) | Aaron Gies | — | — | — |
| NY-24 | Claudia Tenney R | Safe R | Claudia Tenney (i) | Alissa Ellman | — | — | — |
| OH-02 | David Taylor R | Safe R | David Taylor (i) | Jennifer Mazzuckelli | — | — | — |
| OH-04 | Jim Jordan R | Safe R | Jim Jordan (i) | Joshua Kolasinski | — | — | — |
| OH-05 | Bob Latta R | Safe R | Bob Latta (i) | Brian Alan Shaver | — | — | — |
| OH-06 | Michael Rulli R | Safe R | Michael Rulli (i) | Elizabeth Kirtley | — | — | — |
| OH-07 | Max Miller R | Safe R | Max Miller (i) | Brian Poindexter | 35.0% | 43.0% | D+8.0 |
| OH-08 | Warren Davidson R | Safe R | Warren Davidson (i) | Vanessa Enoch | — | — | — |
| OH-10 | Mike Turner R | Safe R | Mike Turner (i) | Kristina Knickerbocker | — | — | — |
| OH-12 | Troy Balderson R | Safe R | Troy Balderson (i) | Jerrad Shane Christian | — | — | — |
| OH-14 | David Joyce R | Safe R | David Joyce (i) | Maria Jukic | — | — | — |
| OH-15 | Mike Carey R | Safe R | Mike Carey (i) | Don Ralph Leonard | 41.0% | 37.0% | R+4.0 |
| OK-01 | Open R | Safe R | Mark Tedford | (No Nominee) | — | — | — |
| OK-02 | Josh Brecheen R | Safe R | Josh Brecheen (i) | Brandon Wade | — | — | — |
| OK-03 | Frank Lucas R | Safe R | Frank Lucas (i) | Suzie Byrd | — | — | — |
| OK-04 | Tom Cole R | Safe R | Tom Cole (i) | Mitchell Leigh Jacob | — | — | — |
| OK-05 | Stephanie Bice R | Safe R | Stephanie Bice (i) | Jena Nelson | — | — | — |
| OR-02 | Cliff Bentz R | Safe R | Cliff Bentz (i) | Chris Beck | — | — | — |
| PA-09 | Dan Meuser R | Safe R | Dan Meuser (i) | Rachel Wallace | — | — | — |
| PA-11 | Lloyd Smucker R | Safe R | Lloyd Smucker (i) | Nancy Mannion | — | — | — |
| PA-13 | John Joyce R | Safe R | John Joyce (i) | Beth Farnham | — | — | — |
| PA-14 | Guy Reschenthaler R | Safe R | Guy Reschenthaler (i) | Alan Bradstock | — | — | — |
| PA-15 | Glenn Thompson R | Safe R | Glenn Thompson (i) | Ray Bilger | — | — | — |
| PA-16 | Mike Kelly R | Safe R | Mike Kelly (i) | Justin Wagner | — | — | — |
| SC-02 | Joe Wilson R | Safe R | Joe Wilson (i) | Zyon Khalifa | — | — | — |
| SC-03 | Sheri Biggs R | Safe R | Sheri Biggs (i) | Eunice Lehmacher | — | — | — |
| SC-04 | William Timmons R | Safe R | William Timmons (i) | Courtney McClain | — | — | — |
| SC-05 | Open R | Safe R | (No Nominee) | Mallory Dittmer | — | — | — |
| SC-07 | Russell Fry R | Safe R | Russell Fry | John Gregory Vincent | 41.0% | 37.0% | R+4.0 |
| SD-AL | Dusty Johnson R | Safe R | Marty Jackley | (No Nominee) | — | — | — |
| TN-01 | Diana Harshbarger R | Safe R | Diana Harshbarger (i) | Kristi Burke | — | — | — |
| TN-02 | Tim Burchett R | Safe R | Tim Burchett (i) | Michaela Barnett | — | — | — |
| TN-03 | Chuck Fleischmann R | Safe R | Chuck Fleischmann (i) | Anna Golladay | — | — | — |
| TN-04 | Scott DesJarlais R | Safe R | Scott Desjarlais (i) | Victoria Broderick | — | — | — |
| TN-05 | Open R | Safe R | Charlie Hatcher | Chaz Molder | 48.0% | 40.0% | R+8.0 |
| TN-06 | Open R | Safe R | Johnny Garrett | Mike Croley | — | — | — |
| TN-07 | Matt Van Epps R | Safe R | Matt Van Epps | Darden Hunter Copeland | — | — | — |
| TN-08 | David Kustoff R | Safe R | David Kustoff (i) | Heidi Kuhn | — | — | — |
| TX-01 | Nathaniel Moran R | Safe R | Nathaniel Moran (i) | Yolanda Prince | — | — | — |
| TX-02 | Open R | Safe R | Steve Toth | Shaun Finnie | — | — | — |
| TX-03 | Keith Self R | Safe R | Keith Self | Evan Hunt | — | — | — |
| TX-04 | Pat Fallon R | Safe R | Pat Fallon (i) | Jason Pearce | — | — | — |
| TX-05 | Lance Gooden R | Safe R | Lance Gooden (i) | Chelsey Hockett | — | — | — |
| TX-06 | Jake Ellzey R | Safe R | Jake Ellzey (i) | Danny Minton | — | — | — |
| TX-08 | Open R | Safe R | Jessica Hart Steinmann | Laura Jones | — | — | — |
| TX-11 | August Pfluger R | Safe R | August Pfluger (i) | Claire Anne Reynolds | — | — | — |
| TX-12 | Craig Goldman R | Safe R | Craig Goldman (i) | Angela Rodriguez Prilliman | — | — | — |
| TX-13 | Ronny Jackson R | Safe R | Ronny Jackson (i) | Mark Nair | — | — | — |
| TX-14 | Randy Weber R | Safe R | Randy Weber (i) | Thurman Bartie | — | — | — |
| TX-17 | Pete Sessions R | Safe R | Pete Sessions (i) | Casey Shepard | — | — | — |
| TX-19 | Open R | Safe R | Tom Sell | Kyle Rable | — | — | — |
| TX-21 | Open R | Safe R | Mark Charles Teixeira | Kristin A Hook | — | — | — |
| TX-22 | Troy Nehls R | Safe R | Trever Nehls | Marquette Greene-Scott | — | — | — |
| TX-24 | Beth Van Duyne R | Safe R | Beth Van Duyne (i) | Kevin Beryl Burge | — | — | — |
| TX-25 | Roger Williams R | Safe R | Roger Williams (i) | Dione Sims | — | — | — |
| TX-26 | Brandon Gill R | Safe R | Brandon Gill (i) | Steven James Shook | — | — | — |
| TX-27 | Michael Cloud R | Safe R | Michael Cloud (i) | Tanya W Lloyd | — | — | — |
| TX-31 | John Carter R | Safe R | John Carter (i) | Justin Early | — | — | — |
| TX-32 | Open D | Safe R | Jace Yarbrough | Dan F. Barrios | — | — | — |
| TX-36 | Brian Babin R | Safe R | Brian Babin (i) | Rhonda J Hart | — | — | — |
| TX-38 | Open R | Safe R | Jon Bonck | Melissa McDonough | — | — | — |
| UT-02 | Open R | Safe R | Blake Moore | (No Nominee) | — | — | — |
| UT-03 | Open R | Safe R | Celeste Maloy | (No Nominee) | — | — | — |
| VA-06 | Ben Cline R | Safe R | Ben Cline (i) | — | — | — | |
| VA-09 | Morgan Griffith R | Safe R | Morgan Griffith (i) | Joy Powers | — | — | — |
| WA-04 | Open R | Safe R | Amanda McKinney | John Duresky | — | — | — |
| WA-05 | Michael Baumgartner R | Safe R | Michael Baumgartner (i) | Carmela Conroy | — | — | — |
| WI-05 | Scott Fitzgerald R | Safe R | Scott Fitzgerald (i) | Andrew Beck | — | — | — |
| WI-06 | Glenn Grothman R | Safe R | Glenn Grothman (i) | Bradley Smith | 61.0% | 39.0% | R+22.0 |
| WI-07 | Open R | Safe R | Michael Alfonso | Frederic Clark | — | — | — |
| WI-08 | Tony Wied R | Safe R | Tony Wied (i) | Rick Crosson | — | — | — |
| WV-01 | Carol Miller R | Safe R | Carol Miller (i) | Vince George | — | — | — |
| WV-02 | Riley Moore R | Safe R | Riley Moore (i) | Ace Parsi | — | — | — |
| WY-AL | Open R | Safe R | Chuck Gray | Lisa Kinney | — | — | — |
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About House Ratings
A race rating is the PollingSource average of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days. One poll in that window sets the rating (Toss-up under 3 points; Lean 3 to under 6; Likely 6 to under 10; Safe 10 or more). Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections stay on each race page. Their consensus is the rating only when no poll ended in the last 30 days. The "2024 margin" is the district's result in the last election, not an input to the rating.