Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 5, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcy Kaptur ✓ | 45,827 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
Held May 5, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Merrin ✓ | 25,092 | 44.1% | |
| Josh Williams | 14,419 | 25.3% | |
| Madison Sheahan | 11,501 | 20.2% | |
| Alea Nadeem | 3,109 | 5.5% | |
| Anthony Campbell | 2,800 | 4.9% |
Full calendar and every race: Ohio primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
Share
Race page
Candidates
Marcy Kaptur Nominee Incumbent
DemocratGeneral Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Analytics Department | 2026-09-23 | 481 LV | ±4.50 | Marcy Kaptur 48.00% | Derek Merrin 48.00% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) partisan·R | 2026-04-20 | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Marcy Kaptur 43.00% | Derek Merrin 47.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 OH-09 House race?
Derek Merrin leads Marcy Kaptur 47.5% to 45.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+2.0 margin based on 2 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 OH-09 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 OH-09 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from DCCC Analytics Department (completed September 23, 2026), found Marcy Kaptur (D) at 48% and Derek Merrin (R) at 48%.
When is the 2026 OH-09 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 1 hour ago
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $3,278,650
- SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC. GOP-aligned $1,175,000
- CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION GOP-aligned $843,663
- AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION GOP-aligned $618,350
- AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E Dem-aligned $584,500
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $453,467
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $364,226
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $306,296
- NEW AMERICAN JOBS FUND Dem-aligned $279,301
- AMERICAN RESOLVE PAC INC. Mixed $127,000
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.
Get the daily email and the spending series
We store the address and the time you agree. No email is sent yet.