Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 5, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcy Kaptur ✓ | 45,827 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
Held May 5, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Merrin ✓ | 25,092 | 44.1% | |
| Josh Williams | 14,419 | 25.3% | |
| Madison Sheahan | 11,501 | 20.2% | |
| Alea Nadeem | 3,109 | 5.5% | |
| Anthony Campbell | 2,800 | 4.9% |
Full calendar and every race: Ohio primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.
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Candidates
Marcy Kaptur Nominee Incumbent
DemocratGeneral Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Analytics Department | 2026-09-23 | 481 LV | ±4.50 | Marcy Kaptur 48.00% | Derek Merrin 48.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 OH-09 House race?
Marcy Kaptur (D) and Derek Merrin (R) are tied at 48% in the PollingSource polling average, based on 1 poll from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 OH-09 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 OH-09 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from DCCC Analytics Department (completed September 23, 2026), found Marcy Kaptur (D) at 48% and Derek Merrin (R) at 48%.
When is the 2026 OH-09 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION GOP-aligned $526,392
- HMP Dem-aligned $382,474
- AMERICAN RESOLVE PAC INC. Mixed $127,000
- AMERICAN DREAM OHIO PAC GOP-aligned $45,000
- HONORING AMERICAN LAW ENFORCEMENT PAC GOP-aligned $25,000
- LAW ENFORCEMENT FOR A SAFER AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $12,000
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $10,100
- AMERICANS UNITED FOR VALUES Mixed $9,000
- GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION Dem-aligned $369
- INDIGO PAC Dem-aligned $268
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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