Primary Results — Alaska, California, Florida, Wyoming See Primary results →

2026 Senate Elections

35 seats up for election (33 Class II + 2 special elections)

48 Projected 2026 Senate 48
34
10 4
4
2 14
31
From current race ratings · Current Senate: 47D – 53R
Not up (D) Safe D Likely D Lean D Toss-up Lean R Likely R Safe R Not up (R)
Safe D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Safe R
Unrated
No Race

Current Senate: 47D - 53R

47
53
Democrats 50 for majority (VP tiebreak) Republicans

Projected after the 2026 elections: 48D – 48R · 4 toss-ups (from current race ratings)

Latest Senate Polls

StatePollsterDateSampleDemRep
AR JL Partners 2026-08-18 LV Hallie Shoffner 35.00% Tom Cotton 51.00%
MI Susquehanna 2026-08-17 800 LV El-Sayed 46.00% Rogers 39.00%
MN SurveyUSA 2026-08-17 LV Peggy Flanagan 46.00% Michele Tafoya 41.00%
MN KTSP/SurveyUSA 2026-08-17 661 LV Peggy Flanagan 46.00% Michele Tafoya 41.00%
GA InsiderAdvantage (R) ±1.9 2026-08-17 800 LV Jon Ossoff 50.00% Mike Collins 43.00%
GA InsiderAdvantage 2026-08-17 800 LV Ossoff 50.00% Collins 43.00%
AK Data for Progress partisan·D ±4.1 2026-08-17 Mary Peltola 53.00% Dan Sullivan 47.00%
MI ToWin 2026-08-14 Abdul El-Sayed 43.50% Mike Rogers 47.80%
ID Peak Insights (R) 2026-08-13 500 LV Jim Risch 52.00%
OH Special Wedgewood Polls 2026-08-13 800 LV Sherrod Brown 48.00% Jon Husted 44.00%

58 Senate poll(s) in the last 30 days. All recent Senate polls →

2026 Senate Races by Competitiveness

Key Retirements in 2026

Democrats (4)

  • Dick Durbin (IL)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (NH)
  • Tina Smith (MN)
  • Gary Peters (MI)

Republicans (5)

  • Mitch McConnell (KY)
  • Thom Tillis (NC)
  • Joni Ernst (IA)
  • Cynthia Lummis (WY)
  • Tommy Tuberville (AL) - running for Gov

About Senate Ratings

A race rating is the 30-day PollingSource average when enough polls exist (Toss-up under 3 points; Lean 3 to under 6; Likely 6 to under 10; Safe 10 or more). One poll never sets the rating by itself. Expert consensus from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections is the fallback when polls are missing.

Learn more about our methodology