Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 12, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Backemeyer ✓ | 26,523 | 57.6% | |
| Eric Moyer | 19,508 | 42.4% |
Republican Primary
Held May 12, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Flood ✓ | 53,094 | 100.0% |
Libertarian Primary
Held May 12, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Sandman ✓ | 479 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Nebraska primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-09-03 | 600 LV | ±4.00 | Chris Backemeyer 43.00% | Mike Flood 42.00% |
| Tavern Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-05-19 | 1079 LV | ±3.90 | Chris Backemeyer 33.00% | Mike Flood 41.00% |
| Zenith Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-05-11 | 371 LV | ±5.10 | Chris Backemeyer 38.00% | Mike Flood 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 NE-01 House race?
Mike Flood leads Chris Backemeyer 42.7% to 38% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+4.7 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 NE-01 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NE-01 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Global Strategy Group (D) (completed September 3, 2026), found Chris Backemeyer (D) at 43% and Mike Flood (R) at 42%.
When is the 2026 NE-01 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 1 hour ago
Top Spenders
- RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS Dem-aligned $852,990
- SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION Dem-aligned $10
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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