Nebraska District 1

NE-01 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held May 12, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Chris Backemeyer 26,523 57.6%
Eric Moyer 19,508 42.4%

Libertarian Primary

CandidateVotes%
Nik Sandman 479 100.0%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Mike Flood 53,094 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Nebraska primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Mike Flood
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Likely R our polls experts: Safe R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+12

PollingSource Rating

Likely R
Our polling average R+7.5 · 2 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Mike Flood

Mike Flood Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $2,359,410
Cash on Hand: $1,551,251

Chris Backemeyer Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $592,233
Cash on Hand: $290,611

Nik Sandman Nominee

Libertarian

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
35.5%
Republican
43.0%
Margin
R+7.5
Last Poll
May 19, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Tavern Research (D) partisan·D 2026-05-19 1079 LV ±3.90 Chris Backemeyer 33.00% Mike Flood 41.00%
Zenith Research (D) partisan·D 2026-05-11 371 LV ±5.10 Chris Backemeyer 38.00% Mike Flood 45.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 NE-01 House race?

Mike Flood leads Chris Backemeyer 43% to 35.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+7.5 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 NE-01 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 NE-01 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Tavern Research (D) (completed May 19, 2026), found Chris Backemeyer (D) at 33% and Mike Flood (R) at 41%.

When is the 2026 NE-01 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.