Texas District 34

TX-34 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held March 3, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Vicente Gonzalez 35,342 62.7%
Etienne Rosas 20,993 37.3%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Eric Flores 20,726 56.7%
Mayra Flores 8,652 23.7%
Luis Buentello 1,943 5.3%
Scott Mandel 1,638 4.5%
Fred Hinojosa 1,395 3.8%
Keith Allen 1,378 3.8%
Gregory Kunkle 690 1.9%
Jay Nagy 159 0.4%

Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Vicente Gonzalez
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls experts: Lean R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+6

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average R+2.0 · 2 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Lean R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Vicente Gonzalez Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $3,773,915
Cash on Hand: $2,532,412
Eric Flores

Eric Flores Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $2,874,990
Cash on Hand: $686,332

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
40.5%
Republican
42.5%
Margin
R+2.0
Last Poll
Jun 16, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Ragnar Research Partners (R) partisan·R 2026-06-16 400 LV ±5.00 Vicente Gonzalez 41.00% Eric Flores 44.00%
co/efficient (R) partisan·R 2026-04-29 777 LV ±3.50 Vicente Gonzalez 40.00% Eric Flores 41.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 TX-34 House race?

Eric Flores leads Vicente Gonzalez 42.5% to 40.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+2.0 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 TX-34 House race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 TX-34 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Ragnar Research Partners (R) (completed June 16, 2026), found Vicente Gonzalez (D) at 41% and Eric Flores (R) at 44%.

When is the 2026 TX-34 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated 6 hours ago

$526,647
Total IE Spending
$509,943
Support
$16,703
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.