Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vicente Gonzalez ✓ | 35,249 | 62.7% | |
| Etienne Rosas | 20,949 | 37.3% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Flores ✓ | 20,685 | 56.6% | |
| Mayra Flores | 8,644 | 23.7% | |
| Luis Buentello | 1,942 | 5.3% | |
| Scott Mandel | 1,635 | 4.5% | |
| Fred Hinojosa | 1,392 | 3.8% | |
| Keith Allen | 1,374 | 3.8% | |
| Gregory Kunkle | 689 | 1.9% | |
| Jay Nagy | 159 | 0.4% |
Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Vicente Gonzalez Nominee Incumbent
Democrat
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Research/Texas Southern University | 2026-08-22 | 700 LV | ±3.70 | Vicente Gonzalez 45.00% | Eric Flores 42.00% |
| Ragnar Research Partners (R) | 2026-06-16 | 400 LV | ±5.00 | Vicente Gonzalez 41.00% | Eric Flores 44.00% |
| co/efficient (R) partisan·R | 2026-04-29 | 777 LV | ±3.50 | Vicente Gonzalez 40.00% | Eric Flores 41.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 TX-34 House race?
Eric Flores leads Vicente Gonzalez 42.3% to 42% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+0.3 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 TX-34 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 TX-34 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Research/Texas Southern University (completed August 22, 2026), found Vicente Gonzalez (D) at 45% and Eric Flores (R) at 42%.
When is the 2026 TX-34 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $4,854,662
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $2,692,388
- BOLD AMERICA Dem-aligned $1,025,542
- RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $967,700
- AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC Dem-aligned $699,932
- CHC BOLD PAC Dem-aligned $500,000
- ARTICLE ONE PAC Dem-aligned $432,350
- AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION GOP-aligned $400,816
- GOPAC ELECTION FUND GOP-aligned $159,390
- OPERATION GUARDIAN SUPPORT PAC GOP-aligned $151,250
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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