Missouri District 2

MO-02 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Fred Wellman 39,327 45.9%
Joan VonDras 36,906 43.0%
Timothy D. Bilash 9,547 11.1%

Republican Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Ann Wagner 63,637 73.9%
Peter A. Pfeifer 6,847 8.0%
Brandon Wilkinson 6,046 7.0%
Matthew R. Grant 2,372 6.5%

Full calendar and every race: Missouri primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Ann Wagner
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+8

Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Ann Wagner

Ann Wagner Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $3,528,095
Cash on Hand: $4,227,396

Frederick Wellman Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $1,155,880
Cash on Hand: $242,217

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 MO-02 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 MO-02 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.