Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Gluesenkamp Perez ✓ | 78,019 | 36.4% | |
| Brent Hennrich | 35,815 | 16.7% | |
| Troy Rasband | 2,058 | 1.0% | |
| Austin Braswell | 1,654 | 0.8% |
Republican Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Braun ✓ | 85,058 | 39.7% | |
| John P. Roco | 4,102 | 1.9% | |
| Lawrence Kellogg | 2,727 | 1.3% |
Independent Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Saulie-Rohman | 3,549 | 1.7% |
Other Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antony Barran | 1,345 | 0.6% |
Full calendar and every race: Washington primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez Nominee Incumbent
Democrat
General Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPB/DHM Research | 2026-09-27 | 543 LV | ±4.20 | Gluesenkamp Perez 47.00% | Braun 48.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 WA-03 House race?
John Braun leads Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 48% to 47% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+1.0 margin based on 1 poll, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 WA-03 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 WA-03 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from OPB/DHM Research (completed September 27, 2026), found Gluesenkamp Perez (D) at 47% and Braun (R) at 48%.
When is the 2026 WA-03 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $4,447,612
- HMP Dem-aligned $3,377,743
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $536,109
- TOGETHER FOR WORKING PEOPLE Dem-aligned $165,000
- SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA GOP-aligned $50,400
- WELCOMEPAC Dem-aligned $33,245
- MAGA INC. GOP-aligned $28,429
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $18,810
- THE GUARDIAN SUPER PAC GOP-aligned $14,118
- FIELD TEAM 6, INC. Dem-aligned $3,554
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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