Primary
Primary election: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Full calendar and every race: Washington primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College ±2.7 | 2026-07-10 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Dem % | John Braun 45.00% |
| co/efficient (R) partisan·R | 2026-04-29 | 982 LV | ±3.10 | Dem % | John Braun 41.00% |
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 WA-03 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive.
When is the 2026 WA-03 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 3 hours ago
Top Spenders
- TOGETHER FOR WORKING PEOPLE $110,000
- WELCOMEPAC $12,898
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.