Primary
Primary held March 3, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Pulido ✓ | 36,957 | 67.5% | |
| Ada Cuellar | 17,757 | 32.5% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monica De La Cruz ✓ | 30,083 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
Monica De La Cruz Nominee Incumbent
Republican
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Applecart | 2026-05-25 | 802 LV | ±4.10 | Bobby Pulido 48.00% | Monica De La Cruz 46.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 TX-15 House race?
Bobby Pulido leads Monica De La Cruz 48% to 46% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 TX-15 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 TX-15 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Applecart (completed May 25, 2026), found Bobby Pulido (D) at 48% and Monica De La Cruz (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 TX-15 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 6 hours ago
Top Spenders
- BDA PAC $997,769
- LATINO VICTORY FUND $82,500
- WELCOMEPAC $60,047
- PROJECT 218 $56,219
- BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT $7,450
- MAJORITY BLUE PAC $3,228
- DEMOCRATIC FUTURE PAC $2,725
- BLUE SHIFT PAC $2,708
- LONE STAR RISING PAC $2,064
- BLUE DEMOCRACY NETWORK $1,200
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.