Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Pulido ✓ | 36,957 | 67.5% | |
| Ada Cuellar | 17,757 | 32.5% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monica De La Cruz ✓ | 30,083 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
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Candidates
Monica De La Cruz Nominee Incumbent
Republican
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Research/Texas Southern University | 2026-08-22 | 700 LV | ±3.70 | Bobby Pulido 50.00% | Monica De La Cruz 45.00% |
| Normington Petts (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-27 | 553 LV | Bobby Pulido 51.00% | Monica De La Cruz 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 TX-15 House race?
Bobby Pulido leads Monica De La Cruz 50% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+5.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 TX-15 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 TX-15 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Research/Texas Southern University (completed August 22, 2026), found Bobby Pulido (D) at 50% and Monica De La Cruz (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 TX-15 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- BDA PAC Dem-aligned $997,769
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $215,000
- WELCOMEPAC Dem-aligned $96,136
- LATINO VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $82,500
- PROJECT 218 Dem-aligned $56,219
- BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT Dem-aligned $7,450
- DEMOCRATS FIGHT BACK PAC Dem-aligned $5,661
- MAJORITY BLUE PAC Dem-aligned $3,586
- DEMOCRATIC FUTURE PAC Dem-aligned $2,725
- BLUE SHIFT PAC Dem-aligned $2,708
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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