Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Pulido ✓ | 36,820 | 67.5% | |
| Ada Cuellar | 17,698 | 32.5% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monica De La Cruz ✓ | 30,083 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Monica De La Cruz Nominee Incumbent
Republican
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University | 2026-08-22 | 700 LV | Bobby Pulido 50.00% | Monica De La Cruz 45.00% | |
| Normington Petts (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-27 | 553 LV | Bobby Pulido 51.00% | Monica De La Cruz 45.00% | |
| Applecart (D) | 2026-05-25 | 802 LV | ±4.10 | Bobby Pulido 48.00% | Monica De La Cruz 46.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 TX-15 House race?
Bobby Pulido leads Monica De La Cruz 49.7% to 45.3% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.4 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 TX-15 House race competitive?
the expert consensus currently rates this race Tilt R.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 TX-15 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University (completed August 22, 2026), found Bobby Pulido (D) at 50% and Monica De La Cruz (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 TX-15 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 31 min ago
Top Spenders
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $3,171,930
- HMP Dem-aligned $2,201,368
- BOLD AMERICA Dem-aligned $1,489,736
- BDA PAC Dem-aligned $997,769
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $512,688
- PROJECT 218 Dem-aligned $451,827
- SOMOS PAC Dem-aligned $319,906
- EDF ACTION VOTES Dem-aligned $305,077
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $163,398
- WELCOMEPAC Dem-aligned $134,102
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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