Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon L. Taylor ✓ | 24,912 | 53.1% | |
| Salaam Bhatti | 9,223 | 19.7% | |
| Jason S. Knapp | 4,695 | 10.0% | |
| Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs | 3,351 | 7.1% | |
| Mel E. Tull, III | 2,016 | 4.3% | |
| Tim S. Cywinski | 1,402 | 3.0% | |
| Ericka W. Kopp | 1,307 | 2.8% |
Republican Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Wittman ✓ | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Virginia primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.
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Candidates
Rob Wittman Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post ±2.2 | 2026-09-29 | 600 LV | Taylor 50.00% | Wittman 46.00% | |
| The Washington Post/SSPG | 2026-09-28 | 609 LV | ±4.50 | Shannon Taylor 50.00% | Rob Wittman 46.00% |
| DCCC Targeting Team (D) | 2026-09-17 | 519 LV | ±4.30 | Shannon Taylor 46.00% | Rob Wittman 47.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 VA-01 House race?
Shannon Taylor leads Rob Wittman 50% to 46% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.0 margin based on 2 polls from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 VA-01 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D, the current rating band, and the race is competitive. Note: our polling average (Lean D) diverges from the expert consensus (Lean R) — that gap makes this a race to watch.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 VA-01 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Washington Post (completed September 29, 2026), found Taylor (D) at 50% and Wittman (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 VA-01 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of scientific public polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days. One poll in that week is the average. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists the polls from that window. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 1 hour ago
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $2,009,130
- YOUR COMMUNITY PAC Dem-aligned $1,760,326
- LCV VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $1,267,334
- NRDC ACTION VOTES Dem-aligned $300,000
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $299,447
- SD 2026 Dem-aligned $266,991
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $153,555
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $131,129
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $116,329
- NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE GOP-aligned $71,229
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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