Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon L. Taylor ✓ | 24,912 | 53.1% | |
| Salaam Bhatti | 9,223 | 19.7% | |
| Jason S. Knapp | 4,695 | 10.0% | |
| Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs | 3,351 | 7.1% | |
| Mel E. Tull, III | 2,016 | 4.3% | |
| Tim S. Cywinski | 1,402 | 3.0% | |
| Ericka W. Kopp | 1,307 | 2.8% |
Republican Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Wittman ✓ | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Virginia primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Rob Wittman Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Washington Post/SSPG | 2026-09-28 | 609 LV | ±4.50 | Shannon Taylor 50.00% | Rob Wittman 46.00% |
| DCCC Targeting Team (D) | 2026-09-17 | 519 LV | ±4.30 | Shannon Taylor 46.00% | Rob Wittman 47.00% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 | 2025-08-09 | 541 RV | ±4.20 | Shannon Taylor 40.00% | Rob Wittman 41.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 VA-01 House race?
Shannon Taylor leads Rob Wittman 45.3% to 44.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+0.6 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 VA-01 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 VA-01 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from The Washington Post/SSPG (completed September 28, 2026), found Shannon Taylor (D) at 50% and Rob Wittman (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 VA-01 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 7 hours ago
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $2,009,130
- YOUR COMMUNITY PAC Dem-aligned $1,760,326
- LCV VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $1,267,320
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $301,370
- NRDC ACTION VOTES Dem-aligned $300,000
- SD 2026 Dem-aligned $266,991
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $153,555
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $131,129
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $116,329
- CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC. GOP-aligned $92,361
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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