Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don Davis ✓ | — | — |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laurie Buckhout ✓ | 26,624 | 39.5% | |
| Asa Buck | 23,227 | 34.5% | |
| Bobby Hanig | 10,924 | 16.2% | |
| Eric Rouse | 3,626 | 5.4% | |
| Ashley-Nicole Russell | 2,975 | 4.4% |
Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient (R) partisan·R R-sponsored | 2026-10-08 | 623 LV | ±3.91 | Don Davis 42.00% | Laurie Buckhout 43.00% |
| Neighborhood Research (R) R-sponsored | 2026-10-06 | 303 LV | ±5.60 | Don Davis 51.00% | Laurie Buckhout 41.00% |
| GQR (D) partisan·D | 2026-10-04 | 500 LV | Don Davis 47.00% | Laurie Buckhout 39.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 NC-01 House race?
Don Davis leads Laurie Buckhout 46.7% to 41% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+5.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 NC-01 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NC-01 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from co/efficient (R) (completed October 8, 2026), found Don Davis (D) at 42% and Laurie Buckhout (R) at 43%.
When is the 2026 NC-01 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- WITH HONOR FUND III, INC. Dem-aligned $750,000
- AMERICAN MISSION GOP-aligned $509,067
- THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER PAC GOP-aligned $191,000
- ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $120,000
- A STRONG INNOVATION ECONOMY REQUIRES STRONG IP PROTECTION Dem-aligned $99,995
- EASTERN CAROLINA CONSERVATIVES FUND GOP-aligned $91,000
- SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA GOP-aligned $65,000
- WFW ACTION FUND INC GOP-aligned $64,666
- 1ST CONSERVATIVE FUND NC Dem-aligned $42,116
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $41,312
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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