North Carolina District 1

NC-01 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held March 3, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Don Davis 0 100.0%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Laurie Buckhout 26,624 39.5%
Asa Buck 23,227 34.5%
Bobby Hanig 10,924 16.2%
Eric Rouse 3,626 5.4%
Ashley-Nicole Russell 2,975 4.4%

Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Don Davis
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls experts: Lean R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+4

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average D+2.0 · 2 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Lean D

Inside Elections

Lean D

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Leans D

Candidates

Don Davis Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $4,287,386
Cash on Hand: $3,570,366
Laurie Buckhout

Laurie Buckhout Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $3,793,077
Cash on Hand: $1,829,661

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
43.0%
Republican
41.0%
Margin
D+2.0
Last Poll
Jun 28, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
GQR (D) partisan·D 2026-06-28 500 LV Don Davis 45.00% Laurie Buckhout 41.00%
co/efficient (R) partisan·R 2026-04-29 842 LV ±3.40 Don Davis 41.00% Laurie Buckhout 41.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 NC-01 House race?

Don Davis leads Laurie Buckhout 43% to 41% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.0 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 NC-01 House race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 NC-01 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from GQR (D) (completed June 28, 2026), found Don Davis (D) at 45% and Laurie Buckhout (R) at 41%.

When is the 2026 NC-01 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated 6 hours ago

$1,101,113
Total IE Spending
$1,058,266
Support
$42,847
Oppose

Top Spenders

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Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.