Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don Davis ✓ | — | — |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laurie Buckhout ✓ | 26,624 | 39.5% | |
| Asa Buck | 23,227 | 34.5% | |
| Bobby Hanig | 10,924 | 16.2% | |
| Eric Rouse | 3,626 | 5.4% | |
| Ashley-Nicole Russell | 2,975 | 4.4% |
Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.
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General Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neighborhood Research (R) R-sponsored | 2026-10-06 | 303 LV | ±5.60 | Don Davis 51.00% | Laurie Buckhout 41.00% |
| GQR (D) partisan·D | 2026-10-04 | 500 LV | Don Davis 47.00% | Laurie Buckhout 39.00% | |
| GBAO (D) partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-09-11 | 500 LV | Don Davis 50.00% | Laurie Buckhout 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 NC-01 House race?
Don Davis leads Laurie Buckhout 49% to 40% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+9.0 margin based on 2 polls from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 NC-01 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NC-01 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Neighborhood Research (R) (completed October 6, 2026), found Don Davis (D) at 51% and Laurie Buckhout (R) at 41%.
When is the 2026 NC-01 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of scientific public polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days. One poll in that week is the average. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists the polls from that window. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 49 min ago
Top Spenders
- WITH HONOR FUND III, INC. Dem-aligned $750,000
- AMERICAN MISSION GOP-aligned $509,067
- THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER PAC GOP-aligned $191,000
- ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $120,000
- A STRONG INNOVATION ECONOMY REQUIRES STRONG IP PROTECTION Dem-aligned $99,995
- EASTERN CAROLINA CONSERVATIVES FUND GOP-aligned $91,000
- SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA GOP-aligned $65,000
- WFW ACTION FUND INC GOP-aligned $64,666
- 1ST CONSERVATIVE FUND NC Dem-aligned $42,116
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $41,312
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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