Primary
Primary held June 23, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cait Conley ✓ | 22,749 | 49.5% | |
| Beth Davidson | 14,671 | 31.9% | |
| Effie Phillips-Staley | 7,012 | 15.3% | |
| Michael Sacks | 742 | 1.6% | |
| John Cappello | 740 | 1.6% |
Full calendar and every race: New York primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM3 Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-01 | 509 LV | Cait Conley 51.00% | Mike Lawler 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 NY-17 House race?
Cait Conley leads Mike Lawler 51% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+6.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 NY-17 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, meaning Democrats are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NY-17 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from FM3 Research (D) (completed July 1, 2026), found Cait Conley (D) at 51% and Mike Lawler (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 NY-17 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 6 hours ago
Top Spenders
- PROGRESSIVE CHAMPIONS PAC $1,500,000
- VOTEVETS $1,076,875
- NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY $522,678
- AFT SOLIDARITY $150,000
- ACTIVATE AMERICA $2,801
- DMFI PAC $382
- PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES $120
- WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC $70
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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