Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 23, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cait Conley ✓ | 22,749 | 49.5% | |
| Beth Davidson | 14,671 | 31.9% | |
| Effie Phillips-Staley | 7,012 | 15.3% | |
| Michael Sacks | 742 | 1.6% | |
| John Cappello | 740 | 1.6% |
Full calendar and every race: New York primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Mike Lawler Nominee Incumbent
Republican
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient (R) partisan·R | 2026-07-22 | 1292 LV | ±2.70 | Cait Conley 45.00% | Mike Lawler 50.00% |
| FM3 Research (D) | 2026-07-01 | 509 LV | Cait Conley 51.00% | Mike Lawler 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 NY-17 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NY-17 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from co/efficient (R) (completed July 22, 2026), found Cait Conley (D) at 45% and Mike Lawler (R) at 50%.
When is the 2026 NY-17 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- PROGRESSIVE CHAMPIONS PAC GOP-aligned $1,500,000
- VOTEVETS Dem-aligned $1,076,875
- NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY Dem-aligned $522,759
- AFT SOLIDARITY Dem-aligned $150,000
- NEW YORKERS FOR A RETURN TO FAIR AND HONEST GOVERNMENT Dem-aligned $6,600
- ACTIVATE AMERICA Dem-aligned $3,138
- RURAL FREEDOM NETWORK Dem-aligned $761
- PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Dem-aligned $432
- DMFI PAC Dem-aligned $382
- WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC Dem-aligned $70
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.