Today's Source

Friday, October 9, 2026

← Oct 8 Oct 10 →

Multiple midterm election debates held tonight, including Maine Senate race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson and governor races in Georgia, Iowa, and Michigan

Polls

National Generic View race View race
Pew Research (n=3917 RV)
Democrats 44% · Republicans 36%
AZ Governor View race View race
GQR (D) (n=600 LV)
Katie Hobbs 49% · Andy Biggs 45%
AZ Governor View race View race
Equis Research (n=1214 RV)
Katie Hobbs 49% · Andy Biggs 43%
FL Governor View race View race
St. Pete Polls (n=836 LV)
David Jolly 45% · Byron Donalds 45%
IA Governor View race View race
SSRS (n=801 LV)
Rob Sand 51% · Zach Lahn 42%
IA Governor View race View race
CNN/SSRS (n=801 LV)
Rob Sand 51% · Zach Lahn 42%
MI Governor View race View race
Guidant Polling & Strategy (n=800 LV)
Jocelyn Benson 50% · John James 45%
NY Governor View race View race
Emerson (n=900 LV)
Kathy Hochul 52% · Bruce Blakeman 40%

Explore all polls and averages →

Follow the Money

The Follow the Money section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.

Headlines

What to Watch

Governor's Races: Four Contests Carry Toss-Up or Lean Ratings

No campaign events are confirmed on the calendar for the coming week, but the governor landscape remains active across ten states. The closest contests by current rating are Georgia and Nevada, both rated Toss-up. Either could tighten further or break in a discernible direction with new polling, and both warrant close attention in the days ahead.

One tier out, Arizona and Minnesota lean Democratic, while Florida, Kansas, and Nebraska lean Republican. These races sit close enough to the center that modest shifts in turnout modeling or late-breaking polling could move their ratings.

Michigan and New Mexico lean toward Democrats at the Likely level, and New Hampshire leans Likely Republican — all three further from competitive status but still worth tracking for any signs of movement that would reclassify them.

Continue reading →

New Polls (24)

Florida Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 7, 2026 St. Pete Polls n=836 LV · ±3.4 Angie Nixon 45% – Ashley Moody 47% R+2
Iowa Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 5, 2026 SSRS n=801 LV · ±4.2 Josh Turek 43% – Ashley Hinson 45% R+2
Michigan Senate View race 1 poll
Sep 27, 2026 Guidant Polling & Strategy n=800 LV · ±3.5 Abdul El-Sayed 48% – Mike Rogers 43% D+5
North Carolina Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 3, 2026 East Carolina University n=810 LV · ±4 Roy Cooper 50% – Michael Whatley 43% D+7
Ohio Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 6, 2026 co/efficient (R) n=925 LV · ±3.5 Sherrod Brown 45% – Jon Husted 46% R+1
Oct 5, 2026 CNN n=760 LV · ±4.5 Brown 49% – Husted 43% D+6
Texas Senate View race 2 polls
Sep 28, 2026 UMass Lowell/YouGov n=850 LV · ±4.5 James Talarico 45% – Ken Paxton 45% Even
Sep 28, 2026 Guidant Polling & Strategy n=800 LV · ±3.5 James Talarico 47% – Ken Paxton 44% D+3
Arizona Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 5, 2026 GQR (D) n=600 LV Katie Hobbs 49% – Andy Biggs 45% D+4
Florida Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 7, 2026 St. Pete Polls n=836 LV · ±3.4 David Jolly 45% – Byron Donalds 45% Even
Iowa Governor View race 2 polls
Oct 5, 2026 CNN/SSRS n=801 LV Rob Sand 51% – Zach Lahn 42% D+9
Oct 5, 2026 SSRS n=801 LV · ±4.2 Rob Sand 51% – Zach Lahn 42% D+9
Michigan Governor View race 1 poll
Sep 27, 2026 Guidant Polling & Strategy n=800 LV · ±3.5 Jocelyn Benson 50% – John James 45% D+5
New York Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 5, 2026 Emerson n=900 LV · ±3.3 Kathy Hochul 52% – Bruce Blakeman 40% D+12
Ohio Governor View race 2 polls
Oct 6, 2026 co/efficient (R) n=925 LV · ±3.5 Amy Acton 43% – Vivek Ramaswamy 45% R+2
Oct 5, 2026 CNN n=760 LV · ±4.5 Acton 50% – Ramaswamy 42% D+8
Oregon Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 1, 2026 DHM Research n=549 LV · ±4 Tina Kotek 46% – Christine Drazan 44% D+2
Texas Governor View race 2 polls
Sep 28, 2026 University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov n=850 LV Gina Hinojosa 44% – Greg Abbott 48% R+4
Sep 28, 2026 Guidant Polling & Strategy n=800 LV · ±3.5 Gina Hinojosa 44% – Greg Abbott 46% R+2
Kentucky CD-06 View race 1 poll
Oct 5, 2026 Change Research (D) n=524 LV · ±4.4 Zach Dembo 47% – Ralph Alvarado 38% D+9
North Carolina CD-01 View race 2 polls
Oct 6, 2026 Neighborhood Research (R) n=303 LV · ±5.6 Don Davis 51% – Laurie Buckhout 41% D+10
Oct 4, 2026 GQR (D) n=500 LV Don Davis 47% – Laurie Buckhout 39% D+8
Tennessee CD-05 View race 1 poll
Oct 1, 2026 Impact Research (D) n=552 LV · ±4.2 Chaz Molder 41% – Charlie Hatcher 46% R+5
Generic View race 1 poll
Oct 4, 2026 Pew Research n=3,917 RV Democrats 44% – Republicans 36% D+8

Added to the Archive (1)

Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.

Sep 2026 Arizona Governor View race 1 poll added

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