Primary
Primary election: Thursday, August 6, 2026
Full calendar and every race: Tennessee primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-05-13 | 558 LV | ±4.10 | Chaz Molder 41.00% | Andy Ogles 47.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 TN-05 House race?
Andy Ogles leads Chaz Molder 47% to 41% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+6.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 TN-05 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 TN-05 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Impact Research (D) (completed May 13, 2026), found Chaz Molder (D) at 41% and Andy Ogles (R) at 47%.
When is the 2026 TN-05 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.