Tennessee District 5

TN-05 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 6, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Chaz Molder ✓ 17,729 40.5%
Yolanda Cooper-Sutton 14,361 32.8%
Rachel Hurley 4,857 11.1%
DeVante R. Hill 4,324 9.9%
Carrie Ann Iacomini 2,491 5.7%

Republican Primary

Held August 6, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Charlie Hatcher ✓ 36,544 53.2%
Andy Ogles 32,091 46.8%

Full calendar and every race: Tennessee primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Andy Ogles)
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Likely R our polls experts: Safe R
State delegation
1D - 8R
Open Seat
Yes
Cook PVI
R+12

PollingSource Rating

Likely R
Our polling average R+6.5 · 2 polls

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Candidates

Chaz Molder

Chaz Molder Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $3,380,345
Cash on Hand: $1,064,156

Charlie Hatcher Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $1,719,954
Cash on Hand: $752,927

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
40.5%
Republican
47.0%
Margin
R+6.5
Last Poll
Oct 1, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Impact Research (D) partisan·D 2026-10-01 552 LV ±4.20 Chaz Molder 41.00% Charlie Hatcher 46.00%
Impact Research (D) partisan·D 2026-08-24 500 LV ±4.40 Chaz Molder 40.00% Charlie Hatcher 48.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 TN-05 House race?

Charlie Hatcher leads Chaz Molder 47% to 40.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+6.5 margin based on 2 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 TN-05 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 TN-05 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Impact Research (D) (completed October 1, 2026), found Chaz Molder (D) at 41% and Charlie Hatcher (R) at 46%.

When is the 2026 TN-05 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

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