Tennessee District 5

TN-05 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 6, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Chaz Molder ✓ 17,729 40.5%
Yolanda Cooper-Sutton 14,361 32.8%
Rachel Hurley 4,857 11.1%
DeVante R. Hill 4,324 9.9%
Carrie Ann Iacomini 2,491 5.7%

Republican Primary

Held August 6, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Charlie Hatcher ✓ 36,544 53.2%
Andy Ogles 32,091 46.8%

Full calendar and every race: Tennessee primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Andy Ogles)
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Lean R our polls experts: Safe R
Open Seat
Yes
Cook PVI
R+12

PollingSource Rating

Lean R
Our polling average R+5.0 · 1 poll

General Election Polling Trend

Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Chaz Molder

Chaz Molder Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $2,599,775
Cash on Hand: $1,482,196

Charlie Hatcher Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $719,503
Cash on Hand: $104,821

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
41.0%
Republican
46.0%
Margin
R+5.0
Last Poll
Oct 1, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Impact Research (D) partisan·D 2026-10-01 552 LV ±4.20 Chaz Molder 41.00% Charlie Hatcher 46.00%
Impact Research (D) partisan·D 2026-08-24 500 LV ±4.40 Chaz Molder 40.00% Charlie Hatcher 48.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 TN-05 House race?

Charlie Hatcher leads Chaz Molder 46% to 41% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+5.0 margin based on 1 poll from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 TN-05 House race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean R, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 TN-05 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Impact Research (D) (completed October 1, 2026), found Chaz Molder (D) at 41% and Charlie Hatcher (R) at 46%.

When is the 2026 TN-05 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of scientific public polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days. One poll in that week is the average. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists the polls from that window. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.