Oregon Governor Race

2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Tina Kotek ✓ 385,999 83.6%
Brittany N. Jones 13,939 3.0%
Forest "Fora" Alexander 12,684 2.8%
Miranda Weigler 10,161 2.2%
Tristan Sheppard 6,006 1.3%
James Atkinson IV 5,902 1.3%
David Beem 4,863 1.1%
Steve Laible 3,692 0.8%
Cal Kishawi 2,422 0.5%
Donnie Beckwith 1,799 0.4%

Republican Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Christine Drazan ✓ 172,474 40.5%
Ed Diehl 140,458 33.0%
Chris Dudley 71,929 16.9%
David Medina 21,742 5.1%
Danielle Bethell 9,629 2.3%
Brad Peters 1,827 0.4%
Paul Romero 1,615 0.4%
Kyle Duyck 1,562 0.4%
Robert Neuman 680 0.2%
Martin Ward 539 0.1%
Hope Dalrymple 534 0.1%
DeAngelo Turner 377 0.1%
Wen Waddell 321 0.1%
Tim Youker 248 0.1%

Full calendar and every race: Oregon primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Tina Kotek
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls experts: Lean D
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average D+1.7 · 3 polls

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Lean D

Inside Elections

Lean Democrat

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Leans Democratic

Candidates

Tina Kotek

Tina Kotek Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Christine Drazan

Christine Drazan Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
46.0%
Republican
44.3%
Margin
D+1.7
Latest poll in average
Oct 4, 2026

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster Date Sample MoE Dem Rep
GBAO (D) D-sponsored In average 2026-10-04 this poll 800 LV ±3.50 Tina Kotek 46.00% Christine Drazan 42.00%
DHM Research In average 2026-10-01 this poll 549 LV ±4.00 Tina Kotek 46.00% Christine Drazan 44.00%
DHM Research In average 2026-09-27 this poll 915 LV ±3.20 Tina Kotek 46.00% Christine Drazan 47.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Oregon governor's race?

Tina Kotek leads Christine Drazan 46% to 44.3% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+1.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Oregon governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Oregon governor's race say?

The most recent poll in our average, from GBAO (D) (completed October 4, 2026), found Tina Kotek (D) at 46% and Christine Drazan (R) at 42%.

When is the 2026 Oregon governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term governor

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