Kentucky District 6

KY-06 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held May 19, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Zach Dembo 26,858 39.6%
Cherlynn Stevenson 21,312 31.5%
Erin Petrey 10,703 15.8%
David Kloiber 3,041 4.5%
Corey Edwards 2,952 4.4%
Harvey Carroll Jr. 1,958 2.9%
Jimmy Clifton Ausbrooks 940 1.4%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Ralph Alvarado 36,217 56.5%
Ryan Dotson 16,897 26.4%
Gregory George Plucinski 5,670 8.8%
Steve Shannon 3,980 6.2%
Adam Perez Arquette 1,332 2.1%

Full calendar and every race: Kentucky primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Andy Barr)
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls experts: Safe R
Open Seat
Yes
Cook PVI
R+14

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average D+0.0 · 5 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Zach Dembo Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $1,463,855
Cash on Hand: $491,275
Ralph Alvarado

Ralph Alvarado Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $1,521,813
Cash on Hand: $398,018

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
37.2%
Republican
37.2%
Margin
R+0.0
Last Poll
Jun 28, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
GQR (D) partisan·D 2026-06-28 440 V Zach Dembo 39.00% Ralph Alvarado 42.00%
Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D ±2.0 2026-04-25 675 RV ±3.80 Zach Dembo 37.00% Ralph Alvarado 37.00%
Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D ±2.0 2026-04-25 675 RV ±3.80 Cherlynn Stevenson 36.00% Ralph Alvarado 37.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 KY-06 House race?

Zach Dembo (D) and Ralph Alvarado (R) are tied at 37.2% in the PollingSource polling average, based on 5 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 KY-06 House race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 KY-06 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from GQR (D) (completed June 28, 2026), found Zach Dembo (D) at 39% and Ralph Alvarado (R) at 42%.

When is the 2026 KY-06 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.