Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Dembo ✓ | 26,858 | 39.6% | |
| Cherlynn Stevenson | 21,312 | 31.5% | |
| Erin Petrey | 10,703 | 15.8% | |
| David Kloiber | 3,041 | 4.5% | |
| Corey Edwards | 2,952 | 4.4% | |
| Harvey Carroll Jr. | 1,958 | 2.9% | |
| Jimmy Clifton Ausbrooks | 940 | 1.4% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph Alvarado ✓ | 36,217 | 56.5% | |
| Ryan Dotson | 16,897 | 26.4% | |
| Gregory George Plucinski | 5,670 | 8.8% | |
| Steve Shannon | 3,980 | 6.2% | |
| Adam Perez Arquette | 1,332 | 2.1% |
Full calendar and every race: Kentucky primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.
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General Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GQR (D) partisan·D | 2026-09-30 | 401 LV | ±4.90 | Zach Dembo 42.00% | Ralph Alvarado 37.00% |
| Lake Research Partners(D) partisan·D | 2026-08-23 | 400 LV | ±4.00 | Zach Dembo 45.00% | Ralph Alvarado 44.00% |
| DCCC (D) | 2026-07-30 | 474 V | ±4.50 | Zach Dembo 47.00% | Ralph Alvarado 47.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 KY-06 House race?
Zach Dembo leads Ralph A Alvarado 42% to 37% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+5.0 margin based on 1 poll from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 KY-06 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D, the current rating band, and the race is competitive. Note: our polling average (Lean D) diverges from the expert consensus (Safe R) — that gap makes this a race to watch.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 KY-06 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from GQR (D) (completed September 30, 2026), found Zach Dembo (D) at 42% and Ralph Alvarado (R) at 37%.
When is the 2026 KY-06 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
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