Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Dembo ✓ | 26,858 | 39.6% | |
| Cherlynn Stevenson | 21,312 | 31.5% | |
| Erin Petrey | 10,703 | 15.8% | |
| David Kloiber | 3,041 | 4.5% | |
| Corey Edwards | 2,952 | 4.4% | |
| Harvey Carroll Jr. | 1,958 | 2.9% | |
| Jimmy Clifton Ausbrooks | 940 | 1.4% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph Alvarado ✓ | 36,217 | 56.5% | |
| Ryan Dotson | 16,897 | 26.4% | |
| Gregory George Plucinski | 5,670 | 8.8% | |
| Steve Shannon | 3,980 | 6.2% | |
| Adam Perez Arquette | 1,332 | 2.1% |
Full calendar and every race: Kentucky primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
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General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners(D) partisan·D | 2026-08-23 | 400 LV | ±4.00 | Zach Dembo 45.00% | Ralph Alvarado 44.00% |
| DCCC (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-30 | 474 V | ±4.50 | Zach Dembo 47.00% | Ralph Alvarado 47.00% |
| GQR (D) partisan·D | 2026-06-28 | 440 V | Zach Dembo 39.00% | Ralph Alvarado 42.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 KY-06 House race?
Polling so far tested a matchup that is no longer live: Ralph Alvarado is not the Republican nominee — Ralph A Alvarado is. In that earlier polling, Zach Dembo led Ralph Alvarado 45% to 44%. The PollingSource average resets once the final matchup is polled.
Is the 2026 KY-06 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: PollingSource rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible. The polling average currently points the other way (D+1.0), but it rests on 1 poll — a single poll never sets the band on its own, so the rating holds one step off the expert consensus (Safe R) until more polling arrives.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 KY-06 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Lake Research Partners(D) (completed August 23, 2026), found Zach Dembo (D) at 45% and Ralph Alvarado (R) at 44%.
When is the 2026 KY-06 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
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