Today's Source

Tuesday, October 20, 2026

← Oct 19 Oct 21 →

Trump held a rally in Kansas to campaign for Senator Roger Marshall against Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton in a tight Senate race

Polls

National Generic View race View race
I&I/TIPP (n=1328 RV)
Democrats 46% · Republicans 42%
National Generic View race View race
Reuters/Ipsos (n=1269 RV)
Democrats 47% · Republicans 35%
National Generic View race View race
Rasmussen Reports (n=1789 LV)
Democrats 48% · Republicans 44%
CT Governor View race View race
GreatBlue Research (n=1000 RV)
Ned Lamont 53% · Ryan Fazio 31%
FL Governor View race View race
ActiVote (n=400 LV)
David Jolly 48% · Byron Donalds 52%
GA Governor View race View race
Quantus Insights (R) (n=755 LV)
Keisha Lance Bottoms 47% · Rick Jackson 48%
IA Governor View race View race
NPA Polling (n=678 LV)
Rob Sand 50% · Zach Lahn 45%
MA Governor View race View race
UMass Amherst/YouGov (n=800 RV)
Maura Healey 56% · Mike Minogue 31%

Explore all polls and averages →

Follow the Money

The Follow the Money section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.

Headlines

Continue reading →

What to Watch

5 governor races are rated Toss-up: Georgia, Nebraska, Nevada, Oregon, and Vermont.

Final Full Week Before Election Day

With 14 days remaining until November 3, the map's closest contests remain clustered in a handful of states carrying outsized weight for control of both chambers. Senate races in Ohio, Nebraska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, South Carolina, Texas, and Alaska all carry Toss-up ratings, meaning any late shift in turnout or ad spending in these states could prove decisive to the chamber balance.

On the House side, watch Florida's 9th, 14th, 16th, and 22nd districts, along with Pennsylvania's 8th, New York's 4th, 17th, and 21st, and Virginia's 1st and 2nd — all rated Toss-up and clustered in states with substantial media markets where late polling could move quickly. Georgia's 7th and Michigan's 4th and 7th districts also remain unsettled.

Governor contests in Georgia, Nebraska, Nevada, Oregon, and Vermont remain the most competitive statewide races on the ballot. With no additional debates or filing deadlines scheduled in the days ahead, the next notable data points will come from fresh public polling in these contested states as campaigns close out their final push.

Continue reading →

New Polls (17)

Arkansas Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 15, 2026 Talk Business/Hendrix College n=709 LV · ±5 Shoffner 41% – Cotton 50% R+9
Georgia Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 17, 2026 Quantus Insights (R) n=755 LV · ±3.8 Jon Ossoff 52% – Mike Collins 45% D+7
Iowa Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 12, 2026 National Public Affairs n=678 LV · ±3.8 Turek 47% – Hinson 48% R+1
Massachusetts Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 12, 2026 UMass Amherst/YouGov n=800 RV · ±4.2 Ed Markey 56% – John Deaton 29% D+27
Minnesota Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 7, 2026 Daily Agenda/Morning Consult n=1,000 RV · ±3.1 Flanagan 45% – Tafoya 41% D+4
Ohio Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 18, 2026 Marist University n=1,176 LV · ±4.5 Sherrod Brown 48% – Jon Husted 44% D+4
Oct 14, 2026 Rasmussen Reports (R) n=901 LV · ±3 Sherrod Brown 47% – Jon Husted 49% R+2
Texas Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 14, 2026 University of Houston n=2,000 LV · ±2.2 James Talarico 48% – Ken Paxton 46% D+2
Massachusetts Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 12, 2026 UMass Amherst/YouGov n=800 RV · ±4.2 Maura Healey 56% – Mike Minogue 31% D+25
Nevada Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 13, 2026 Global Strategy Group (D) n=700 LV · ±3.7 Aaron Ford 47% – Joe Lombardo 48% R+1
Ohio Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 18, 2026 Marist University n=1,176 LV · ±4.5 Amy Acton 51% – Vivek Ramaswamy 43% D+8
Pennsylvania Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 11, 2026 PennLive n=628 RV · ±4.5 Shapiro 58% – Garrity 28% D+30
South Dakota Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 14, 2026 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy n=500 LV · ±4.5 Dan Ahlers 36% – Larry Rhoden 56% R+20
Texas Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 14, 2026 University of Houston n=2,000 LV · ±2.2 Hinojosa 46% – Abbott 49% R+3
Florida CD-09 View race 1 poll
Oct 15, 2026 SEA Polling (D) ±4.9 Darren Soto 44% – Dan Green 44% Even
Generic View race 2 polls
Oct 19, 2026 Reuters/Ipsos n=1,269 RV Democrats 47% – Republicans 35% D+12
Oct 14, 2026 Rasmussen Reports n=1,789 LV Democrats 48% – Republicans 44% D+4

Added to the Archive (41)

Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.

Apr 2025 – Jan 2026 Alaska Senate View race 2 polls added
Aug 2026 Arkansas Senate View race 1 poll added
Mar 2026 – Oct 2026 Florida Senate View race 4 polls added
Jun 2026 – Sep 2026 Iowa Senate View race 2 polls added
Aug 2026 Kansas Senate View race 1 poll added
Jul 2026 Maine Senate View race 1 poll added
Nov 2025 – Aug 2026 Massachusetts Senate View race 7 polls added
Feb 2026 – Sep 2026 Minnesota Senate View race 3 polls added
Sep 2025 – Oct 2026 New Hampshire Senate View race 9 polls added
Apr 2026 – Sep 2026 Rhode Island Senate View race 4 polls added
Aug 2026 Tennessee Senate View race 1 poll added
Jan 2026 – Sep 2026 Texas Senate View race 5 polls added
Oct 2026 Generic View race 1 poll added

How was today's briefing?

Get this briefing in your inbox every morning