Primary
Republican Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Green | 14,740 | 25.4% | |
| Ben Butler | 14,151 | 24.4% | |
| Thomas E. Chalifoux Jr. | 11,799 | 20.3% | |
| Jorge Martinez | 11,318 | 19.5% | |
| Justin Story | 2,481 | 4.3% | |
| Marcus Carter | 2,246 | 3.9% | |
| Steve Rance | 1,333 | 2.3% |
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 FL-09 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.
When is the 2026 FL-09 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- HOMEGROWN CONSERVATIVES PAC GOP-aligned $72,466
- HOMETOWN FREEDOM ACTION NETWORK Dem-aligned $47,000
- WINNING RIGHT PAC Dem-aligned $42,424
- REFORM GOVERNMENT Dem-aligned $32,470
- PATRIOTIC FUND, INC. GOP-aligned $15,570
- SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION Dem-aligned $10
- GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION Dem-aligned $8
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.