Florida District 9

FL-09 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary election: Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Darren Soto
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Likely R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+10

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Likely R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Darren Soto

Darren Soto Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $1,973,450
Cash on Hand: $1,268,860

Benjamin Butler

Republican
Total Raised: $334,952
Cash on Hand: $282,438

Dan Green

Republican
Total Raised: $1,119,100
Cash on Hand: $878,849

Gregory Carter

Republican
Total Raised: $20,760
Cash on Hand: $3,114

Howard Rance

Republican
Total Raised: $136,322
Cash on Hand: $8,454

Jorge Malavet

Republican
Total Raised: $27,817
Cash on Hand: $39

Jorge Martinez

Republican
Total Raised: $792,535
Cash on Hand: $756,631

Justin Story

Republican
Total Raised: $92,060
Cash on Hand: $43,383

Thomas Chalifoux

Republican
Total Raised: $3,127,529
Cash on Hand: $2,716,704

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 FL-09 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

When is the 2026 FL-09 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated 8 hours ago

$18
Total IE Spending
$18
Support
$0
Oppose

Top Spenders

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Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.